Sun. Nov. 15, 2020 – tomorrow is usually mostly like today. until it isn’t.

Warmer, damp.  Overcast.  But hopefully no rain.

Saturday was overcast and muggy all day.  I was out running around, and my wife was taking down the pool. . . she was running fans to try to dry it out but it wasn’t working.  It was MUGGY.  91%RH at 10am.  The RH did go down as the temperature went into the 80s.   I got a few light sprinkles in various parts of town.  Barely enough to use the wipers though.

I spent some time throwing stuff out at my secondary.  I’m making room for other stuff.  And I’m discovering that I saved a lot of empty boxes, just because I could.  I was using them back in the day, but haven’t in a long time.  B’bye…. can’t afford that now.

Gotta make more room for TP and paper towel stacks.

Today the plan is to head over there and put the forklift to work, attacking from the other end.  If it doesn’t rain that is.


I was reminded of Selco, and SHTFSchool.com by Peter Grant’s post at his site.  Selco is one of the legends of the preppersphere.  He’s also very no nonsense and willing to tell uncomfortable truths to people.  Read what he’s written on the blog, buy the books.   Peter’s post reminded me of how quickly things can deteriorate.  One thing I really don’t want to see in the US is fighting in the streets.  We have been seeing RIOTING in the streets.  Last night at the Million MAGA March in DC it came much closer to FIGHTING.

Real fighting- snipers, roadblocks, burning cars, raping and murder, arson (some parts of Chicago on any given weekend)- hasn’t started yet.  While the left has been running riot, the right has been standing around.  While the left has been working out tactics and support, the right has been mostly posturing.  While the left has been getting their financing in order, the right has been frozen out of crowdfunding, and doesn’t have a deep pockets patron.   I have a feeling the right is going to learn some very hard lessons when the fighting actually kicks off.

I read somewhere that no insurgency has ever  survived long without outside support.  The lefty insurgency has that in spades.  If the right is forced into becoming an insurgency, who do they have?  And what will it cost to get help?

What would victory look like?  What would defeat look like?  Neither looks as good as a week long vacation at Disneyland, but at the moment, one or the other looks more likely.

Keep stacking.

nick

Author: Nick Flandrey

Mid 50s, stay at home dad, with two elementary school age girls. Love my family and my life.

67 thoughts on “Sun. Nov. 15, 2020 – tomorrow is usually mostly like today. until it isn’t.”

  1. We have been seeing RIOTING in the streets. Last night at the Million MAGA March in DC it came much closer to FIGHTING.

    Anyone on the streets in DC yesterday after sundown was looking for trouble.

    A thought just occurred to me that my successor on the reversible lane toll project in DC may learn about the remaining issues with the “End of the world is nigh” key switch in the near future. Not my problem.

    It isn’t a safety issue. Strictly financial.

  2. “Anyone on the streets in DC yesterday after sundown was looking for trouble.”

    –the dilemma is, prudent people understand”don’t be there” and yet someone must participate in the public expression of the right’s beliefs. Someone must counter the narrative in public. We can’t cede the public forum to the enemy. And make no mistake, antifa and the political BLM movement and the rest of the black bloc collection of troublemakers ARE the enemy. They would destroy all of the things that led to our success as a nation.

    Families can’t exercise their first amendment rights, then sit down to dinner in our nation’s capitol?

    All the rhetoric around the 2A applies to the 1A as well. A ‘right’ you can’t use isn’t much of a right.

    n

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  3. Twenty thousand can be described as “hundreds”. Two hundred hundreds, to be precise.

  4. Funny how responsibilities attach to the Second Amendment, but none to the First.

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  5. Now that cold weather has arrived and new threats of closing indoor dining, reports of shortages of propane. Too much demand for outdoor heaters for those serving under tents in their parking lots.
    On that, tents are looking more like outdoor rooms as walls go up. they are supposed to be open on some sides to be outdoors.

  6. Propane shortages are due to distribution, not supply. Prices have slipped below last year as the demand for propane to dry grain in the midwest has been lower than projected.

    Portable propane heater prices used in outdoor dining have increased. They use 40-lb tanks that have to be delivered, and the empties collected and refilled. That’s the bottle neck. The propane used is small compared to drying millions of bushels of corn.


  7. Propane shortages are due to distribution, not supply. Prices have below last year as the demand for propane to dry grain in the midwest has been lower than projected.

    Well yes but I really didn’t bother to say that. I’m sure if you go to a refill location instead of exchange there is propane. Just most people prefer the ease of the exchange at home centers and grocery stores. And of course your experience may vary as many exchange location you have to bother to find someone to actually help you. Well sometimes that’s true of refill also.

  8. Families can’t exercise their first amendment rights, then sit down to dinner in our nation’s capitol?

    All the rhetoric around the 2A applies to the 1A as well. A ‘right’ you can’t use isn’t much of a right.

    Right now, BLM and Antifa want the optics of either a pretty white coed or, better yet, a child taking a bullet, preferably from a cop’s gun.

    The right needs to chill out until after the runoff election in Georgia because, absent something truly awful on the national news feeds which can be associated with the Republican party in any way, the suburban women swing voters in the sububrbs of Atlanta are not going to elect Raphael Warnock to the Senate. Heck, they may not even show up at the polls if college football continues into the following weekend.

    Does the runoff have early voting?

  9. They use propane to dry grain? Propane burning has a whole lot of water in it…

    n

  10. “Cancer charity set up by Joe Biden in memory of his son Beau has spent more than $3.7million on staff salaries and ZERO on research, tax filings reveal ”

    –ghost written books, speaking engagements, appearance fees, and B$ charity foundations. It’s a big club, and you ain’t in it.

    Don’t forget “Man of the Year” dinners held by the foundation.

    I’ve worked in tech long enough to remember the regular United Way extortion. That all stopped when the curtain got pulled back on the operation, revealing how little the organization actually spent on the causes under its “umbrella” relative to those asinine dinners every middle manager at large companies in town seemed to want to headline, all written off on the “marketing costs” page of the ledger.

    The United Way is still around, but the organization-as-racket ended about 20 years ago.

  11. From yesterday:

    Costco run today, a quick trip to check their computer monitors

    I picked up a 4k 50″ TCL TV from Walmart for about $250 last March. They had some early black Friday sales last week with even cheaper prices, but they sold out quickly. I’m very happy with it as a monitor for my laptop. I didn’t give it WiFi or Ethernet connections. I just use the HDMI port. I put it 42 inches from my face, which makes it easy to read. I’m not sure how easy it would be to use it in portrait mode. I would like having one in portrait and another in landscape.


  12. “well, if there was cheating, it was on both sides”

    Putting the best cheaters into office is not a good system. A key part of the problem is having a popular vote at all. The Electoral College was designed to avoid having people vote directly for the president and vice president. We would do well to get back to voting for electors by name, and letting them choose a president and vice president separately, rather than as a combined ticket. A problem that has developed over time is that the number of voters per elector has gotten out of hand. Voters should be choosing electors whom they have known reasonably well (not necessarily personally) for years by their standing within the local community, not just through campaign literature.


  13. Funny how responsibilities attach to the Second Amendment, but none to the First.

    Don’t give them ideas.

  14. “Costco run today, a quick trip to check their computer monitors”

    I picked up a 4k 50″ TCL TV from Walmart for about $250 last March. They had some early black Friday sales last week with even cheaper prices, but they sold out quickly. I’m very happy with it as a monitor for my laptop. I didn’t give it WiFi or Ethernet connections. I just use the HDMI port. I put it 42 inches from my face, which makes it easy to read. I’m not sure how easy it would be to use it in portrait mode. I would like having one in portrait and another in landscape.

    Givent the space constraints of my home office, I’m perfectly content with my 4:3 19″ ViewSonic LCD monitor which is pushing 10 years old and still runs like new. However, the VA has my wife working from home one week a month, and we have to shoulder the costs of the hardware and fixing the ergonomic problems so she can do televisits with patients.

    I saw 1080p TVs at Best Buy last week for $129. Vizio “dumb” sets, but I’m not a fan of built in Roku anyway. It looks like 4k is the new floor.


  15. Don’t give them ideas.

    They’ve already got one: hate speech.

    “Offense cannot be given, only taken, and some people look for it like a pig after truffles.”

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  16. They use propane to dry grain? Propane burning has a whole lot of water in it…

    n

    You would not believe how much natural gas is used to dry poop and toilet paper by the city of Houston before it is land filled.

    The water in the combustion gas blows off to the atmosphere. The number one component in combustion gas is nitrogen. The number two component is CO2. Water is the distant number three unless you have a lot of excess air in which case it is O2, then water is number 4.

  17. Huh, I know it’s so much water that they recommend against using it to heat homes under construction to dry the drywall mud.

    n

  18. Huh, I know it’s so much water that they recommend against using it to heat homes under construction to dry the drywall mud.

    That is a semi-enclosed environment. Even with the doors open and windows open, not much air is exchanged for the combustion gas to vent so it will build up over time.

    Several of my customers used my software to design the heat exchangers for the LNG liquefaction plants back in the 2000s. Several of them positioned their natural gas burners under water to capture the latest heat of vaporization of the water in the combustion gas. It got them two percent more heat out of the combustion burners.


  19. capture the latest heat

    Not being snarky, but helping my ignorance. Don’t you mean latent heat?

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  20. The UV FLASHLIGHT arrived on Friday via UPS.

    No interesting shades of coral (?) between my toes. No sign of scorpions yet. “Pet stains”, a few. Not many where I expected.

    The old area rug in the living room? The one where Wilma had accidents while potty training? Where Missy barfed grass a couple of times? Penny has barfed there, too. Not a sign, it looks spotless under UV. Even the backside, where I can see pee stains, does not glow.

    Maybe that Hoover carpet cleaning machine actually works? Yeah, I did clean both sides of the rug.

    The spot where a full glass of red wine was spilled a few years ago shows with UV. I guess I’ll clean that spot again someday.

    If this is lighting up urine, how did someone pee on the hall bath toilet lid? Lid down, not up. I can understand dribbles down the outside of the bowl, but on the lid? There are few spots of what look like dried blood in that bathroom. Paint drips that match the floor color under normal light.

    Interesting tool. My house isn’t as grubby as I thought. I need to dust but yeah, whenever.

    A well spent $7.

  21. I read Dick-Head Schumer is leading the HARRIS/biden healing effort by gloating, bragging, and telling Redumblicans to “get over it.”

    And Grammerly wants me to capitalized biden. LOL!

    LET THE HEALING BEGIN!


  22. If this is lighting up urine, how did someone pee on the hall bath toilet lid?

    LOL! When I showed MrsAtoz her *spotless* bathroom using my UVBeast, she almost passed out looking at the pee splatter. I was blamed, of course.

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  23. capture the latest heat

    Not being snarky, but helping my ignorance. Don’t you mean latent heat?

    Argh ! Sigh.

    Yes.


  24. No interesting shades of coral (?) between my toes.

    Awwww… It really is a beautiful shade of coral. If you find anything unusual or interesting, let us know!

    I tried to get my cousin to do a time-lapse movie of a carnation placed in tonic water (bright blue, iirc) but he never got a round tuit. 🙁

  25. “HAS EVERYONE LOST THEIR MIND?” by Sarah Hoyt
    https://accordingtohoyt.com/2020/11/14/38085/

    “As for free housing and food? Hello Soviet Union. You can have a closet in someone’s house. There is no bathroom, because it stopped working and no one will fix it. And, well, in winter there are turnips. They’re free!”

  26. Well, goobernor inslee says it is back to square one (Phase 1) for WA State, effective Monday 11/16/20, at least until Monday 12/14/20. So now no more inside seating at places to eat, no more clubs, no more gatherings, except for Churches. Retail establishments are limited to 25% of Fire Code Occupancy and there had better be “social distancing” signs and marks on the floor. And if you are over 2-years of age you MUST wear a mask.

    The wife just came back from a grocery store run and it is chaos. All the usual stuff is disappearing from the shelves and there is much jostling.

  27. If you find anything unusual or interesting, let us know!

    This summer I bought this, or it’s twin, to look for tomato hornworms. They glow like a green and white candy cane…

    Televue telescope-eyepieces lettering also glows a bright green, if one happens to pick up the UV light instead of the red night-vision friendly light.

    PSA: if you update your iPhone it turns on auto-capitalization and auto-correct again.

  28. This is very surprising that any ARM cpu would out perform an Intel or AMD cpu.

    On Geekbench numbers. Your mileage may vary.

    I expect that the ARM CPU battery life will be significantly better but app performance will be mixed in the short run. Adobe has been Intel focused for a long time, and Photoshop has a lot of hand optimized code.

    The most interesting aspect of the change to me is that the Intel Mac Mini can be upgraded but the ARM Mini cannot, the tradeoff for the lower price. More disposability!

    Intel Macs will be around for a long time. The capability to run Windows and Linux in Boot Camp or Virtual Box is still important to a lot of development shops, including my new job.

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  29. Well, goobernor inslee says it is back to square one (Phase 1) for WA State, effective Monday 11/16/20, at least until Monday 12/14/20. So now no more inside seating at places to eat, no more clubs, no more gatherings, except for Churches. Retail establishments are limited to 25% of Fire Code Occupancy and there had better be “social distancing” signs and marks on the floor. And if you are over 2-years of age you MUST wear a mask.

    Inslee won reelection. Costco owns the Governor’s Mansion for another four years.

    Leave people with nothing to do except shop at Costco and the other big box stores.

  30. The wife just came back from a grocery store run and it is chaos. All the usual stuff is disappearing from the shelves and there is much jostling.

    Big run on TP and paper towels this weekend in Austin. We went into Sam’s after water, and the paper goods corner was stripped to the palettes. The stock levels looked pretty good when I stopped on Friday morning. My wife said HEB’s paper goods aisle was stripped bare too.

    Everything except TP and paper towels had normal stock, including fresh meats.

  31. Gov Inslee (WA state) just announced draconian measures to “deal with the pandemic.” I’ll have to look up just what old King Draco (?) proposed, but I say,

    Let ’em crash

    What was it Pournelle used to say? But we were born free…


  32. The wife just came back from a grocery store run and it is chaos. All the usual stuff is disappearing from the shelves and there is much jostling.

    Plugs gonna fix that with healin’.

    Isn’t the standart Dumbocrat fix to “throw more money” at it? I read Inslee has allocated $50 million. That should fix it this time.


  33. This is very surprising that any ARM cpu would out perform an Intel or AMD cpu.

    That’s because Tim Cook is GAAAAY! and the chip runs on Unicorn farts.

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  34. Regarding WA’s new rules: I was reading about what was planned last evening, and quickly decided to go on a supply run to the local WalMart.

    It was Saturday evening, so I expected some low stock due to weekend buying. The shortages I saw were beef (ground/etc) and turkeys (expected), although there was packaged chicken on the shelves.

    Eggs were low stock, milk about middle stock, lunchmeat/cheese was normal. Soday (especially canned) was lower. Packaged cereal was low, but the stocking crew working on that aisle. Lots of stocking crew in place Sat night.

    The paper products (TP, paper towels) was almost totally empty, just a few cases of TP. Paper plates/napkins low. I have enough of each for the two of us here, so didn’t need any. Produce was stocked (and being stocked, as was the rest of the store).

    Not many bodies in there Sat night; don’t have a comparison for what would be normal, usually don’t go there weekends/nights. But figured that with stores limited to 25% normal occupancy, going last night was preferable to going on Monday.

  35. I forgot to mention in my earlier post that “LIMIT” signs have reappeared. All paper products were limited to 2 TOTAL, eggs and milk limit 2 each, meat/chicken/seafood limit 2 packages TOTAL, canned goods limit 2 each, produce 1 package or 1-pound, flour and sugar limit 1 each, and frozen foods 1 package each. No limits on alcohol.

    Eve of Destruction

  36. Does WA State have some monitoring agency to determine if these specific lockdown items actually dropped the infection rate? What is the drop in infection rate that will lift said items after four weeks? Or can you expect another four weeks ad infinitum? I read restaurant rates are pretty low, yet why stop indoor dining?

    How much more can WA’s economy take it?

    A plugs bail-out, per chance?

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  37. Eggs were low stock, milk about middle stock, lunchmeat/cheese was normal. Soday (especially canned) was lower. Packaged cereal was low, but the stocking crew working on that aisle. Lots of stocking crew in place Sat night.

    Coke products always had tight supply when we lived up there from August 2010 until the last time I saw Baker City in my rearview mirror eastboud on I84, bound for Boise in June 2014.

    (One of the happiest moments of my life. No offense.)

    To make things worse, my poison of choice is Diet Coke, and that brought out the Aspartame nutters on top of the normal “Church Ladies without Churches” crowd in the Northwest that isn’t shy about sharing their opinion of just about everything other people do that their “book” says is wrong.

    God forbid you question their weed, though. That was just getting started in 2014.

  38. Does WA State have some monitoring agency to determine if these specific lockdown items actually dropped the infection rate? What is the drop in infection rate that will lift said items after four weeks? Or can you expect another four weeks ad infinitum? I read restaurant rates are pretty low, yet why stop indoor dining?

    Washington state is #31 is the number of total cases in the USA. Texas is number 1 !
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/washington/

    Daily new cases (there is a graph) is running 3,000/day in WA. Texas is running 12,000 new cases/day.

  39. God forbid you question their weed, though. That was just getting started in 2014.

    I favor just about no regulation on any drugs. But I am concerned that we are going to become a nation of junkies, specifically weed.

    Many of the process plants test ALL their workers monthly now. If you blow a test, you blow the job. And they are having trouble finding new workers.

  40. Looks like the strategy is to lock down and foster shortages now, tank the economy, and give Biden a sub-basement economy to build from.

    feh

    The gubermint gave two generations the opportunity to travel overseas and kill the communist enemies of the USA. Who knew that if we just waited, we wouldn’t have to travel?

  41. I favor just about no regulation on any drugs. But I am concerned that we are going to become a nation of junkies, specifically weed.

    Weed was just the gateway legalization to include heroin, cocaine/crack, and meth, as Oregon just did in the election.


  42. Who knew that if we just waited, we wouldn’t have to travel?

    I’m in communication with some number of others who did things overseas, in the nominal or actual effort to keep communism and other shithole ideas over there, in the shitholes. Every one of us is furious that rigged elections, kleptocracy, rape gangs, secret police, ongoing invasion, and murder mobs have come to the homeland. No one is willing to state over the wires any past actions, preparations, red lines, or future plans, but preparations are indeed being made. I’m waiting to see what becomes of the election theft and I suspect others are, as well.

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  43. I’m in communication with some number of others who did things overseas, in the nominal or actual effort to keep communism and other shithole ideas over there, in the shitholes. Every one of us is furious that rigged elections, kleptocracy, rape gangs, secret police, ongoing invasion, and murder mobs have come to the homeland. No one is willing to state over the wires any past actions, preparations, red lines, or future plans, but preparations are indeed being made. I’m waiting to see what becomes of the election theft and I suspect others are, as well.

    Rule 308.

    https://www.americanpartisan.org/2020/09/bracken-what-i-saw-at-the-coup/

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  44. “Cancer charity set up by Joe Biden in memory of his son Beau has spent more than $3.7million on staff salaries and ZERO on research, tax filings reveal ”

    –ghost written books, speaking engagements, appearance fees, and B$ charity foundations. It’s a big club, and you ain’t in it.

    C’mon, man! The CEO only got a salary of $430,000. I bet the minions got $15/hr to make up for it.

    LET THE HEALING BEGIN!

  45. Bought TurboTax for the 2020 tax return. Started my 2020 tax return. I can get a refund if I claim 250,000 miles for medical travel. Cashing in those IRAs is a killer as it is now taxable income. TIAA-CREF is 10 year payout so I needed to start now as I figure I have about 15 years left. Couple of others were small but contributed to the income level.

    After four years of paying $0.00 in income tax this year is going to sting. I knew it was coming but I still don’t like the result.

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  46. Well I did some work at my secondary. I couldn’t find the battery to run my forklift so I had to do other things. Plenty of work to go around, and I filled the bed of my truck with (s)crap. The guy across the way from me is giving up one of his two units. He can’t make the rent. He refurbishes and refinishes furniture. He’ll buy scratch and dent and fix it up for resale. He also does work for others. His business is way down and he’s hurting. He’s hoping a new president will help.

    Came home to dinner. Mmmmm, delicious pot roast in the (repaired) crock pot. IDK if I mentioned it, but my slow cooker died. Exploring it looked like the simple circuit just turns on a heater, until a normally closed thermostat opens, rinse and repeat… The thermo thingy was failed open. None of the salvaged ones in my parts box were a complete match, so I ordered a replacement which arrived promptly, (<$5 including shipping iirc). Today I put in the new part and fired it right up. Yes, it's a very simple device. Plastic body, small timer and relay board, super thin aluminum tub with a heater element, and a dish in that. No they are not expensive, and we do have the instapot as well. But, I like to fix things. So I did. At some point the swollen capacitors on the power supply board will either fail or I'll proactively replace them too. It's good practice to fix things, and good for my economy. Total time involved,

  47. And I’m always looking for info on indigenous cooking styles or methods that use little fuel…
    n


  48. His business is way down and he’s hurting. He’s hoping a new president will help.

    The HARRIS/plugs administration will heal him. He will get no other help, though.

    LET THE HEALING OF THE PROLES BEGIN!

  49. His business is way down and he’s hurting. He’s hoping a new president will help.

    Oh, Harris / Biden will hose him completely when people cannot afford his services due to paying outlandish taxes.

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  50. Bought TurboTax for the 2020 tax return. Started my 2020 tax return. I can get a refund if I claim 250,000 miles for medical travel. Cashing in those IRAs is a killer as it is now taxable income. TIAA-CREF is 10 year payout so I needed to start now as I figure I have about 15 years left. Couple of others were small but contributed to the income level.

    After four years of paying $0.00 in income tax this year is going to sting. I knew it was coming but I still don’t like the result.

    We are going to pay and pay and pay. Turns out my FIL left the wife and her system three life insurance p0licies. One of them is a deferred annuity of very low six figures. The wife has elected to take it in a lump sum since we figure that we will be paying more percentage wise tax next year after Harris / Biden screws us. Still it is nice to have. We are hoping that it was paid for using post-tax money and not tax-deferred money.

  51. “Fauci: Social Distancing, Masks Still Necessary After Getting Coronavirus Vaccine”
    https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2020/11/15/fauci-social-distancing-masks-still-necessary-after-getting-coronavirus-vaccine/

    “National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases director Dr. Anthony Fauci said Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union” that it will still be necessary to social distance, wear masks after a coronavirus vaccine becomes available.”

    You will submit.

    Hat tip to:
    https://thelibertydaily.com/

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  52. “Cancer charity set up by Joe Biden in memory of his son Beau has spent more than $3.7million on staff salaries and ZERO on research, tax filings reveal ”

    –ghost written books, speaking engagements, appearance fees, and B$ charity foundations. It’s a big club, and you ain’t in it.

    C’mon, man! The CEO only got a salary of $430,000. I bet the minions got $15/hr to make up for it.

    LET THE HEALING BEGIN!

    How do I get the CEO job of one of these charity gigs ?

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  53. “12 Republicans who flipped House seats”
    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2020/11/12-republicans-who-flipped-house-seats.php

    “As of this morning, with five races yet to be called, RealClearPolitics notes that Republicans have picked up a net of 9 House seats. RCP projects that Republicans will pick up a net 10-13 seats when the counting is done.”

    Totally cool ! And how does Trump lose when he carried these new House seats ?

    Hat tip to:
    https://thelibertydaily.com/

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  54. I did not realize that the bell housings of the rocket motors got white hot for the entire time they ran. That is wild.

    The night launch was probably spectacular.

    Weather was still 50-50. This time of year is always a roll of the dice on the Peninsula.

  55. @Nick
    “And I’m always looking for info on indigenous cooking styles or methods that use little fuel…”

    Low and slow.
    Cooks Country on PBS last week featured sous vide chuck roast at 120-130F for 18-24 hours. Results were allegedly fantastic.
    Wouldn’t be difficult to use solar heat.
    Keep an eye out for stainless steel drums.

  56. “If you want to be rich, associate with rich people. Make yourself useful to them. Then, one night, when the moon is right, they’ll take you down to the stream that flows with money, and give you your own bucket.”

    –one of my good friends in Hollywood told me that. I believe he was quoting someone but I don’t know who.

    n

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