Sat. Sept. 3, 2022 – plugging away

Hot and humid, but less so than Houston.    It was mostly in the high 80s low 90s yesterday.   Lots of humidity, but overcast kept it comfortable most of the day.  Unless one happened to be engaged in physical labor, then it was miserable soaked to the skin sweaty hot.

Like it was for me.   Every stitch of clothing soaked completely with sweat.   Lost track of the gatoraid I drank, and used my cool vest 3 times.   The gas line is in the trench, enters the garage, runs to a manifold.   I started work on the supply side of the water plumbing too.   Discovered I need 4 specific pex fittings that I don’t have.   May head into town to see if Tractor Supply has them, if not, I’ll work the other end of the system.

Family made it here safely.    Had dinner.

Brand new gallon of costco milk was sour when opened.  Seal was bad under the intact cap.   I might go into town for milk, and just stop by the hardware or TS store on the way.  I’m not the only one with milk going off before its time lately.   One more thing failing amongst many.

I REALLY am feeling pressure to have this place ready as a real refuge.   Politics are getting more divisive and the rhetoric is escalating.   Pretty sure the current president just declared war on more than half the population.  Since he said last week that we’d need more than guns, and finally stumbled around to saying we’d need F-15s, that sounds a lot like he intends to use the Armed Forces against us.    Wonder how that will work out?   Nice for the heads up though.

You aren’t stacking enough.   Get busy.

nick

64 Comments and discussion on "Sat. Sept. 3, 2022 – plugging away"

  1. Greg Norton says:

    Saw Jaws on the big screen tonight in 3D. 

    The original movie in 3D. Not “Jaws 3D”, right?

    Interesting if it is the original. How well did the effect work?

    Svengoolie occasionally runs “Duel”, Spielberg’s first significant studio film. It is worth the time if you ever get the chance. 

  2. Greg Norton says:

      Since he said last week that we’d need more than guns, and finally stumbled around to saying we’d need F-15s, that sounds a lot like he intends to use the Armed Forces against us

    The next “pandemic” will see the military going door to door administering the mandatory vaccinations to eliminate the possibility of smarta** “Skippy” types like me continuing to provide a control group for the jabs.

    Now with natural immunity!

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  3. Nick Flandrey says:

    79F with 89%RH and overcast this morning.  Lake is glass smooth, so my wife took a kayak out.   I think she’s gonna come back soaked to the skin.

    I hadn’t appreciated the Quint character previously.  

      I have noticed something similar with music.   I listen to mostly 80s, and mostly New Wave on XM when I’m driving.   The songs are very familiar.   Lately though, I’ve turned them up loud enough to overcome my normal hearing deficits, and actually listened.   I’m often caught off guard by a really good guitar solo, or some unusual drum sound or rhythm,  or great horns where I didn’t expect them.   The songs that survived to get airplay now are generally much better songs that you might think.    You remember the lyrics or the ‘hook’ because you are singing along, but there was a lot going on to make it a lasting song.    I’m sure something similar is at work with ALL forms of art, you get familiar with it, and only see the image in your head, or what you thought about it previously.  (I guess I need to strive for’beginner’s mind’ (ha! ‘strive’ for it!))

    n   

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  4. Ed says:

    Pretty sure the current president just declared war on more than half the population.

    Huh? Did you watch the speech or read the transcript?

    Too much of what’s happening in our country today is not normal. Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations of our Republic.

    Now, I want to be very clear, very clear up front. Not every Republican, not even the majority of Republicans, are MAGA Republicans. Not every Republican embraces their extreme ideology. I know, because I’ve been able to work with these mainstream Republicans.

    Bold added. 

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  5. Greg Norton says:

     I have noticed something similar with music.   I listen to mostly 80s, and mostly New Wave on XM when I’m driving.   The songs are very familiar.   Lately though, I’ve turned them up loud enough to overcome my normal hearing deficits, and actually listened.

    Try a familiar mid-late-80s album on CD with a decent pair of headphones. The record companies spent ungodly amounts of money circa 1985 to make sure the sound was perfect on big releases, and the artists/producers put together real albums.

    “Dream of the Blue Turtles” is a good place to start, and, believe it or not, Whitney Houston’s debut is a very impressive piece of engineering.

    Again the key is CD on a CD player.

    No, a CD is not vinyl, but I remember the scratchy-scratchy sound of most albums in the vinyl era resulting from repeated playback on mediocre equipment. CDDA was a very good compromise IMHO and beats any compressed format today.

    Unfortunately, satellite radio is compressed. Analog FM is still a very good playback medium, but my guess is that its days are numbered in the US along with AM and broadcast TV. The Pizza Box Dream comes first.

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  6. Greg Norton says:

    @Lynn – messing around with installing Desktop Docker for Windows on one of my personal Windows 10 machines to support mandatory work training (!), I noticed that Docker supported a switch to Windows containers if installed with Hyper-V instead of WSL.

    If you’re looking at VM technologies for testing, it might be worth a look. I have no idea how experimental Windows containers are at this point.

    I uninstalled the software and reinstalled with WSL since the training is Linux container-centric.

    Ironically, my work machine is too locked down to install Desktop Docker, but these courses have to be completed before the end of the year with competency testing to make sure we actually paid attention and worked the exercises.

  7. Greg Norton says:

    Ironically, my work machine is too locked down to install Desktop Docker, but these courses have to be completed before the end of the year with competency testing to make sure we actually paid attention and worked the exercises.

    Ack. Docker Desktop not Desktop Docker.

  8. Nick Flandrey says:

    Something weird today on the site or suddenly on my side- comment form is not clearing after a submit.

    up to 82F but still overcast.

    Yeah, rhetoric.   “not every M#xican is a lazy shiftless thief..”  “let me be very clear, not every n#gro is a welfare cheat and thief..”   “ I know the majority of j#ws aren’t money grubbing misers but …”

    Yeah.  rhetoric.   

    More than half the country supported Trump.  EVERYWHERE but the blue hives, in fact.  It’s easy enough to look at a map of election results by county and see that.    By demonizing Trump supporters, you take those first steps toward the pogroms.   And you alienate the whole country outside a handful of big cities.  Way to be a uniter.

    I stand by my assessment.

    n

    (and nice imagery, Goebels in charge of set dressing and lighting?)

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  9. Greg Norton says:

    (and nice imagery, Goebels in charge of set dressing and lighting?)

    Disney Imagineering. I’m not fooling around suggesting it either.

    Everything about that speech was obviously all focus tested in advance to scare the h*ll out of the suburban female voters who decide these things anymore. The few yards in my neighborhood with “B*TO!” signs out front now also have “Mothers Against Greg Abbott”, with the first letters of each word emphasized. Get it?

    The silver lining is that people are aware of what’s going on with the manipulation. I hear a *liberal* vlogcast describing the speech set as “Satan’s man cave” shortly before the assembled panel started doing Paul Frees “Ghost Host” riffs.

  10. drdrwilliams says:

    Fil at Wings of Pegasus did a nice segment on AutoTune:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7aDN3oujXI

    The irony is that when I pulled up the video I got an ad for a 2-month trial of…AutoTune

  11. drdrwilliams says:

    @Nick

    “Goebels in charge of set dressing and lighting?”

    Students of LenI Reifenstahl flavored by Frazetta.

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  12. Ed says:

    More than half the country supported Trump.
     

    Uhh…what? He lost the popular vote both times. How are you measuring “the country”?

    EVERYWHERE but the blue hives, in fact.

    You mean…where people live? Land doesn’t vote. People do. 

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  13. drdrwilliams says:

    Artemis launch scrubbed at 11:17AM EDT due to hydrogen fuel line leak.

    Next window Monday.

    https://www.space.com/artemis-1-launch-scrub-hydrogen-leak

    NYT equates Artemis launch delay due to equipment malfunction with SpaceX first launch delayed by weather:

    Lots of launches do not get off the ground on the first try. A couple of years ago, SpaceX’s first launch of NASA astronauts — the first such launch from American soil since the retirement of NASA’s space shuttles — reached the countdown’s final minutes before the flight was delayed because of bad weather. It launched three days later.

    Lots of launches do not get off the ground on the second try, either.

    and preps public for more failures.

    https://hotair.com/headlines/2022/09/03/auto-draft-743-n494359

  14. Greg Norton says:

    NYT equates Artemis launch delay due to equipment malfunction with SpaceX first launch delayed by weather:

    and preps public for more failures.

    Shuttle launches used to get scrubbed all the time for various reasons. It was a running joke in Central Florida in the 80s and 90s. SLS is the same hardware.

  15. Ray Thompson says:

    He lost the popular vote both times

    By those that voted. I suspect there were many supporters that failed to vote. Since the election I suspect there are several Spongey voters that realize the error of their ways.

    I don’t like Trump. He is a jerk, an asshole, a pompous egotistical jerk. I would never invite Trump to my house to let him piss in the bushes.

    As in the last several elections I did not vote for someone, I voted against someone.

    Sponge Brain is senile. He is bad for the U.S. He has done nothing worth anything in all his years in politics. His economic policies are bad for the economy. His closing of pipelines and blocking drilling is bad for the economy. His executive orders issued his first day in office were done out of spite, not rational thinking. Spongey is not thinking rationally.

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  16. mediumwave says:

    How Oberlin’s slander put our family through hell

    There’s still some doubt that Oberlin will pay the $36 million they owe. If you want to support Gibson’s, their web site is here. I bought a T-shirt. 

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  17. Clayton W. says:

    Since it has been an open secret that some regions have had large amounts of voter fraud, I’, looking at you Chicago, and the rules were changed such as to reduce voter integrity, NOBODY knows how many votes anyone got.  Well, except me.  I know I did not receive any votes.

    Seriously, nobody knows.

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  18. Ed says:

    By those that voted. I suspect there were many supporters that failed to vote.  

    Yes, by those who voted. There certainly can be non-voting supporters, but I think it’s a basic principle that a supporter of a politician shows support by, well, voting for that politician. 

    More to the point, Nick has not supported his “more than half“ claim.

    Since the election I suspect there are several [redacted] voters that realize the error of their ways.

    Possibly, but the same can be said for any candidate.

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  19. Ed says:

    Since it has been an open secret that some regions have had large amounts of voter fraud

    This fake news again? Sorry, citation needed.

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  20. ITGuy1998 says:

    Since you protest that it’s fake, you provide evidence supporting so. Who do you think your are, demanding actions on others? 

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  21. Rick H says:

    Regarding disposal replacement  – I’ve done 3-5 of them over the decades, and used a screwdriver in the flanges to loosen/remove. Stick screwdriver in horizontally and loosen. Once loose, easy to unscrew by hand.

    A small bottle jack under the disposal helps support the old and new during removal/replacement.

    WRT to working under the counter, a strap-on LED headlamp (FLASHLIGHT!) is very useful. You can pick them up for about $1 in the camping area at WalMart. I have  a bunch of them in convenient places around the house for when the power goes out. I wear it when I go out to the garage and set up / start the generator. 

    A folded beach towel is useful when lying under the cabinet. Maybe a cutting board or scrap plywood underneath it to provide support.

    The headlamps are also fun for kids at night during the summer, or on camping trips. Since they are LED, they will last a long time. And since they are cheap, you don’t worry about losing any. Actually cheaper to buy a new one than replace the button battery – although you can use the cheap replacement batteries at the local dollar (and a-quarter now) store.

  22. Ed says:

    Since you protest that it’s fake, you provide evidence supporting so. Who do you think your are, demanding actions on others? 

    I don’t think you’re discussing in good faith. I think you know as well as I and others here that, if someone makes a claim, the onus is on them to support it. If someone claims there was fraud in Chicago, the onus is on them to prove it. 
     

    I assume you appreciate the absurdity of the opposite principle. For one, it’s impossible to prove a negative. For another, the principle you’re suggesting would mean everything written on the internet is true until proven otherwise.

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  23. ITGuy1998 says:

    Ah, but you never add anything to the conversation, only piss and vinegar.  So go ahead, prove the statement you object to as false, or shut your pie hole.

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  24. Ed says:

    ITGuy1998: This is where my interactions with you will end.

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  25. mediumwave says:

    When did this place degenerate into a debating society, as opposed to the venue supporting the exchange of useful  information that it has been in the past?

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  26. Kenneth C Mitchell says:

    Ed; Citation for voter fraud? 

    There’s a whole MOVIE called “2000 Mules”, which is primarily video of people illegally dropping dozens of ballots into illegal ballot “drop boxes” is five cities. The five cities, in fact, where the majority of voter fraud is alleged to have occurred. 

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  27. Ed says:

    Kenneth: “2000 Mules” has been thoroughly debunked/discredited. For example:

    GPS data from apps on cellphones are only accurate to around 40 feet. Research published by the University of Georgia in 2019 concluded that iPhone GPS was only accurate in a range of 7 to 13 meters (23 to 43 feet).

    “That’s not accurate enough to tell if someone stopped at a ballot box, or if someone simply walked near the box,” Quintin said. “If it is a high-traffic area, I can think of any number of legitimate reasons why someone would be in the vicinity of a ballot box.”

    Delivery drivers, poll workers, election officials — all might have reason to be in the vicinity of numerous drop boxes, he said. Certainly, he said, it doesn’t provide enough evidence to uphold the group’s claims about 2,000 mules, he said. And, he noted, “they have the burden of proof.”

    The entire idea also doesn’t pass the smell test. If 2,000 people were all recruited in some massive fraud plot, wouldn’t one of them have, say, testified in court about it? In the kind of situation where lying has consequences, which is not the same as when someone is, say, blathering at one of his rallies?

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  28. Ed says:

    He is bad for the U.S. He has done nothing worth anything in all his years in politics.

    As to this point, and to counteract the general tenor of gloom and doom, I think this is an overall good thing:

    https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/339162-white-house-bans-paywalls-on-taxpayer-funded-research

    “In short: If we the people paid for the research, you the company don’t get to refuse us access to it.”

    “As then-Vice President Biden said in 2016 when he spoke to the American Association for Cancer Research, “Right now, you work for years to come up with a significant breakthrough, and if you do, you get to publish a paper in one of the top journals. For anyone to get access to that publication, they have to pay hundreds, or even thousands, of dollars to subscribe to a single journal. And here’s the kicker — the journal owns the data for a year. The taxpayers fund $5 billion a year in cancer research every year, but once it’s published, nearly all of that taxpayer-funded research sits behind walls. Tell me how this is moving the process along more rapidly.””

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  29. CowboyStu says:

    WRT Chicago voting, I lived there until mid ’62.  All the vote stealing was Democrats without a doubt.

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  30. ITGuy1998 says:

    ITGuy1998: This is where my interactions with you will end.

    Irrelevant – post your proof.

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  31. Alan says:

    Several days eaten by locusts…catching up…

    Wednesday

    >> FedEx usually delivers in the morning, and it can be almost any time. Extreme variations, and sometimes drivers come from over a hundred miles away in spite of the fact that there is a good size terminal in our town. They sometimes drive rental trucks instead of FedEx trucks. Seems strange to me.

    @JimB, is this FedEx Express (purple lettering) or FedEx Ground (green lettering)? Much (all?) of the latter is via independent contractors who own their trucks and just use the FedEx logo.

    —-

    >> Bed Bath & Beyond has lots of problems beyond cancelling MyPillow.

    I thought I saw stories that the stock was being manipulated by kids like GameStop.

    I’m surprised that place wasn’t sold to private equity and strip mined like Toys R Us.

    Kohls is headed in that direction.

    Kohls is where we take most of our Amazon returns (both back in FL and here). The person at the Amazon booth in the store most times looks bored out of their mind. It seems that the booth is in different locations in different Kohls, and not much signage. Maybe it’s like the grocery store putting the milk the furthest from the store entrance, they hope you might buy something else as you navigate through the aisles. And actually, in Kohls we sometimes get handed a Kohls coupon good just for that day, same ploy as the milk I guess. Not sure Kohls would still be hanging on without their constant coupon promotions and the Kohls Cash they hand out.

    —-

    >> Just had a session searching eBay for a vintage OEM car part.

    All sorts of shiite showing up from other manufacturers, so I took a closer look, and sure enough, most of the listings that I checked were from a handful of shiite-heads that included hundreds of unrelated keywords in their listings. So I took a few minutes and reported  a few.

    Looks like several dealers got their keyword spam list from the same source. Managed to remove most of them from the search results by including “-hudson” in the search terms.

    Using the “-abc -123 -etc” construct is really helpful sometimes when you really need to find something specific in a category filled with spammy listings, though it can be tedious at times to weed stuff out. Sometimes a ‘minus’ attempt removes just two or three items but other times it ca drop 50% or more. I tend to save any that are more complex within eBay just in case I need the same search sometime in the future,
    Now if only someone could convince Andy Jassy that Amazon’s AI-driven search really does p!ss people off.
     

  32. Alan says:

    Thursday

    >> Yesterday, the new bell was cast, and a couple dozen of us went to watch. This is the only traditional bell casting foundry in Switzerland, and possible in this part of Europe. Not much call for bells today, though, so nowadays they mostly cast sculptures and such.

    There’s one here in Philadelphia that’s cracked, maybe this place could melt it down and recast it so it could be used again rather that just gathering dust??

    —-

    >> As Jerry P. used to say, it’s always a cable problem.

    Second choice is the person that “installed” the cable. “Yeah, it’s plugged in tight, I think…”

    —-

    >> Your link to the casting of the bell is broken: It’s posted as an internal link here.

    Try this:

    kri.ch/Glockengiessen_2022_08_31.mp4

    Nice video. Not as much protective equipment as I might have expected? Any idea of the temperature in the crock?

    —-

    >> “Mary Peltola defeats Sarah Palin in special election to become first Alaska Native elected to Congress, NBC News projects”

       https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/democrat-mary-peltola-defeats-sarah-palin-special-election-become-firs-rcna45756

    “The results come more than two weeks after the state used ranked-choice voting to determine which candidate will finish out the term of GOP Rep. Don Young, who died in March.”

    Does this mean that Alaska is going dumbrocrat or that they just dislike Sarah Palin now ? Or is this ranked voting system just wrong ?

    @lynn, I think ranked choice voting has merit, but it can have some unexpected results when the voters either don’t fully understand the new process or think they can, as a group, manipulate the outcome.
    See this article and look for the references to “ballot exhaustion.”
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/01/peltola-palin-ranked-choice-voting-alaska/

    —-

    >> We had a power outage at the BOL in our absence, and now the cheap and cheerful WavLink WiFi access points that I like(d) are displaying the same flaky behaviour as their brethren at home base did after the last outage there. I fear I am going to have to bite the bullet and get two sets of whole-house good-quality Asus or Ubiquiti mesh units. The cheap ones are… cheap.

    @Denis, would some UPSs improve the situation?

    —-

    >> “Trouble in paradise: Tom Brady and Gisele Bündchen in epic fight”

        https://pagesix (dot) com/2022/09/01/tom-brady-and-gisele-bundchen-in-epic-fight-sources/

    “The model has left their family compound in Tampa, Fla., for Costa Rica following a series of heated arguments over Brady’s shock decision to un-retire from the NFL, while he has remained behind for team training.”

    Sounded like Gisele was “burdened” with all the child-care duties while Tom tries to avoid another concussion or three. Too bad they can’t afford, oh say, an au-pair (or two…would that be an au-quad??), a driver and a personal chef.

    —-

    >> I used to add peas to several things, including curry.   I like canned peas and serve them all the time.  I don’t like the bright green frozen peas, freaks me out to see them again a day later……

    Up late catching up on stuff…hopefully I won’t remember that image by the morning…

    —-

    >> Call it $4-6 a pound. High but cheaper than what I’m paying for burger, on par with our cost for chicken parts. Cheap meat these days are chicken thighs for $3/lb, whole chicken $2/pound. Beef starts at $4/lb. Pork starts at $3/lb. 

    @Jenny, are you anywhere near access to hunt big game (caribu, moose, etc.)? But maybe I’ve just seen a few too many episodes
    of “Life Below Zero” (Discovery Channel). What I do find interesting that seems to be on when I flick through the channel guide is “Impossible Engineering” (Science Channel).

  33. drdrwilliams says:

    “There’s still some doubt that Oberlin will pay the $36 million they owe.”

    The judgement against Oberlin is secured in a bond that they were required to put up during the appeal. That bond is accruing interest..

    Mrs. Gibson’s statement that Oberlin “refuses to pay” is therefore not quite accurate. They refuse to quit until they have exhausted every possible means of legally harassing the Gibson family.

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  34. Lynn says:

      I have noticed something similar with music.   I listen to mostly 80s, and mostly New Wave on XM when I’m driving.   The songs are very familiar.   Lately though, I’ve turned them up loud enough to overcome my normal hearing deficits, and actually listened.   I’m often caught off guard by a really good guitar solo, or some unusual drum sound or rhythm,  or great horns where I didn’t expect them.   The songs that survived to get airplay now are generally much better songs that you might think.    You remember the lyrics or the ‘hook’ because you are singing along, but there was a lot going on to make it a lasting song.    I’m sure something similar is at work with ALL forms of art, you get familiar with it, and only see the image in your head, or what you thought about it previously.  (I guess I need to strive for’beginner’s mind’ (ha! ‘strive’ for it!))

    Best riffs in music:

    1. “My Sharona” by The Knack (1979)
    2. “Life in the Fast Lane” by The Eagles (the riffs were written by Joe Walsh) (1976)
    3. “Smoke on the Water” by Deep Purple (1973)
    4. “Sweet Home Alabama” by Lynyrd Skynyrd (1974)
    5. “Lagrange” by ZZ Top (1973)
    6. “Money for Nothing” by Dire Straights (1984)

    All 1970s except the Dire Straights.

    https://www.guitarplayer.com/lessons/the-100-greatest-guitar-riffs-of-all-time

  35. Nick Flandrey says:

    Pulled the main trunk line of pex for the water into the attic.   PITA to straighten the coils enough that they would pull…

    And I seem to be shockingly unlucky when drilling holes in the wall top plate to pass power and water down into them.   I drilled 4 holes in the bathroom and all 4 hit something in the attic.   Climbed into the area to see, and it was a ONE FOOT long piece of blocking.   Literally anywhere else in the top of the wall was clear.  Similar thing happened in the garage at the supply end, I hit BOTH rafters, which for some requirement of framing were only 8 inches apart, instead of the 24 inches all the other rafters were spaced.    I’m gonna be busy with the spray foam can…

    Stopped for lunch and to change shirts.   

    n

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  36. Greg Norton says:
    • “Money for Nothing” by Dire Straights (1984)

    Yeah, the guitar riff, but the guest vocal stint as the howling dog established Sting as a rock god.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JcqhvPNiJzo

  37. Ed says:

    That is the most confidential stuff. Classified. That’s classified. You go to prison when you release stuff like that.

    Yikes. Better hope those words don’t come back to haunt him. 

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  38. Lynn says:

    Unfortunately, satellite radio is compressed. Analog FM is still a very good playback medium, but my guess is that its days are numbered in the US along with AM and broadcast TV. The Pizza Box Dream comes first.

    If Congress passes the new rights legislation, the artists who sang the songs are going to start receiving royalties for radio play.  Actually, most of the artists signed over their rights to Universal, etc so these large companies will be paid.  

       https://www.nab.org/advocacy/issue.asp?id=1889&issueid=1002

  39. paul says:

    I think my favorite Dire Straits is “Romeo And Juliet” from “Making Movies”.  I like most of their stuff.

    I’ve worn out two albums enough to need replacing.  “Making Movies” and “The Wall”.

  40. drdrwilliams says:

    The U.S. government spent somewhere between $600 and 800 million dollars setting up the 2010 Census to be done with electronic devices. When it became obvious that the vendor could not deliver, the 2010 Census was converted to paper in the 11th hour. The infrastructure that had been in place for decades to support the paper forms, including the personnel, was largely gone. As a result, forms that were returned on time by households (Phase I) were not processed in a timely fashion, and sat in warehouses until well after the field enumeration (Phase II) started. Using paper forms that themselves were not processed in a timely fashion.

    Despite the problems, the 2010 Census was successful and the audit results were comparable to previous efforts. A large part of that success was attributable to the use of personal cellphones which the government did not pay for.

    Software was developed for the 2020 Census running on the iPhone 8 platform as the local client. The U.S. government accepted delivery of the software without adequate testing. Census personnel got inadequate training due to the pandemic–the traditional 4-5 days in the classroom with field exercises was replaced by two hours in the classroom and computer-based training modules. There was no team structure, no in-person interactions.  

    Part of the training was that the software presented addresses in the order that they must be visited. When the census went to the field it became evident that the order was more of a random walk than an efficient schedule. In metropolitan areas the problem was easy to see as successive addresses jumped back and forth between zip codes. If the “software order” requirement  had been kept, or the software had refused to open cases out of sequence, the census would not have been completed on time. 

    During the census it was public knowledge that the count would affect the apportionment for the House of Representatives, and what the results would probably be. Two states, New York and Minnesota, were statistically equally “on the bubble” for losing a representative. Census management were able to monitor progress and were highly motivated to “get the count” in those states.

    Phase III of the census is termed PES, the Post Enumeration Survey. During Phase I and Phase II there is some replication of interviews designed for “quality control”, which largely prevents bad employees from sitting at their dining room table and filling out forms. Phase III is a concerted effort to improve the data quality through re-interviews in person and by phone. 

    The U.S. Census got through Phase III and certified the results to congress, resulting in the apportionment of seats for the various states.

    More than a year later In March 2022, the U.S. Census released data showing two statistical analysis of the PES data. The news releases emphasized the demographic aspects, which is primarily the self-identification of race and ethnic groups

    But it was quickly revealed that 8 blue states were overcounted and 6 red states were undercounted. Enumeration is counting. Some of these over/undercounts were more than 5%. “Unprecedented” is often used improperly, but there is no similar results in the modern census.

    More importantly, the likely result in the house was Florida -2, Texas -1, Minnesota +1, Rhode Island +1, and Colorado +1. This does not translate directly into a single number, but it’s most likely that the error was +5 or +6 in favor of the Democrats. 

    And also importantly, population counts are used to allocate federal money to the states. Congratulations, red states, you’ve been gamed again.

    Can you say “Statistically unlikely?”

    Is it just a coincidence that this occurred when electronic devices largely eradicated the paper trail?

    Are there parallels here between the electronic census and electronic voting?

    Where are the investigations into the causes of these errors, how they happen to correlate with party affiliation, and how thy can be prevented in the future?

    It’s 2022. The next census begins in 2029. Has the new software contract been awarded? Who’s writing the new software and who is testing it? What platform does it run on in the field? Does the platform address the shortcomings identified in the 2020 equipment?  Is there any independent certification of quality based on a test data set? 

    ADDED:
    Phase II of the 2020 Census started late due to the pandemic, and procedures were also impacted. It would be easy to attribute all the problems to “The Pandemic” and wave them away without examining the root causes. But Phase I was not much affected by pandemic, nor was Phase III.
    My Number 1 priority for investigation would be simple: Determine if all the data that should be available is, in fact available. Covering tracks is usually easy for forensic examination to identify.

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  41. paul says:

    Thanks for all the comments about disposals.

    I stuck my hand down there today and there is nothing.  The “flails” or whatever the name is, swivel freely. The allen wrench tool still doesn’t work.

    No matter, it’s going to my pile of scrap metal because it leaks water.   It’s almost 30 years old, I can’t complain. 

    I’ll go to Home Depot next week for plumbing parts.  They might have under cabinet lights I like better than the Amazon link I posted yesterday.  (item B098TWYJB5.)

    I’m not in a rush.  If I need to thaw something I’ll use a bowl of water.  Or horrors, the microwave.  

  42. Ray Thompson says:

    @Rick: You have Wyze cameras as do I. I have a scheduled task to turn on the motion sending at 12:00 AM. I came home at 12:30 AM and the cameras recorded zilch. The cameras are turned off as my understanding is that it runs the camera all the time depleting the battery. What am I missing? What are your settings to get the cameras record on motion?

  43. paul says:

    I got sort of bored.  Here:

    http://remsset.com/files/Chili%20Mac.txt

    There’s more if you surf up the URL. 

  44. Greg Norton says:

    Software was developed for the 2020 Census running on the iPhone 8 platform as the local client. The U.S. government accepted delivery of the software without adequate testing.

    Which one of the usual gang of idiot contractor firms was responsible for the Census client software?

    Compounding the stupidity would be iOS development = Hot Skillz

    If the Feds had ever contracted for a vaccine passport app, they would still be waiting for delivery.

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  45. NaN says:

    When did this place degenerate into a debating society, as opposed to the venue supporting the exchange of useful  information that it has been in the past?

    Isn’t the answer clear? Well, maybe not – maybe it’s as clear as the reason this post will soon disappear.

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  46. Rick H says:

    @Ray – I have various versions of the Wyze cameras – version 2, version 3, a doorbell, and an outdoor.  Two of the version 2 and two of version 3, one each of doorbell, outdoor. Oh, and a ‘pan’ camera (the tall one). Plus the new Garage Cam (which is used to control the garage door opener, and can alert you if it is left open).

    For the motion detection settings: view the camera from the main screen of the Wyze app on your phone, then tap the ‘gear’ icon to get into settings.  Go into Detection Settings to set the sensitivity of motion and sound. Tap the Detection Zone (which can be on or off) to get to the screen to select the ‘live’ zones to monitor. (For instance, maybe you have a street in the view, and you don’t want motion alerts when cars go by.)

    On the Detection Zone screen, make sure you set the Detection Zone on.

    Back to the main settings screen, then Event Recording. Turn on/off ‘detects motion’ and ‘detects sound’ according to your needs. Then go into Smart Detection to set values.

    Note that the ‘standard’ (default) plan is to only have 12 second recordings, then there is a ‘cool down’ period after a motion recording that essentially turns off motion detection and recording. With their “Cam Plus” plans, that cooldown is not enabled, so you get motion detection/recording during the entire ‘event’. 

    Also note that using an micro memory card will get you longer recordings stored locally, rather than in the Wyze ‘cloud’.

    These articles on the Wyze support area might help with their plans: here and here . This is about Cam Plus service.

    With the outdoor camera, the battery use is low. I usually get 1-3 months on the outdoor battery camera.

    Overall, happy with the Wyze cameras. The one that points into the front yard is susceptable to headlight flares causing ‘events’. And tree branches waving in the wind cause an ‘event’.  I did have issues with the doorbell camera – but related to it’s initial release. Has worked fine since then.

    Don’t forget to go into your Account occasionally to check for firmware updates for the cameras.

  47. Lynn says:

    @Lynn – messing around with installing Desktop Docker for Windows on one of my personal Windows 10 machines to support mandatory work training (!), I noticed that Docker supported a switch to Windows containers if installed with Hyper-V instead of WSL.

    If you’re looking at VM technologies for testing, it might be worth a look. I have no idea how experimental Windows containers are at this point.

    I uninstalled the software and reinstalled with WSL since the training is Linux container-centric.

    Ironically, my work machine is too locked down to install Desktop Docker, but these courses have to be completed before the end of the year with competency testing to make sure we actually paid attention and worked the exercises.

    I gave up on the VM for now.  I could not figure out how to access my hard drive from the VM.  

    I am working on porting my code to C++ from 850,000 lines of F77 using Fable now.  I am first removing my variant data structure since Fable does not handle Fortran data structures.  

        https://cci.lbl.gov/fable/

    I am planning on modifying Fable extensively to convert its array handling to use native data types instead of its weird classes.  

  48. Greg Norton says:

    I gave up on the VM for now.  I could not figure out how to access my hard drive from the VM.  

    On VirtualBox?

    Once the guest additions are installed in the VM, sharing folders from the host should be fairly straightforward. For Windows guests, I believe that the shared folders look like network shares to the OS.

    My experience with Windows guests in VirtualBox is pretty limited. I usually run Linux guests on a Windows host.

  49. Lynn says:

    “M.2 to USB Adapter, RIITOP NVMe to USB 3.1 Reader Card Compatible with Both NVMe (PCI-e) M Key SSD & (B+M Key SATA Based) NGFF SSD”

        https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08FWZXT2N?tag=ttgnet-20/

    Worked perfectly on my daughters old laptop NVMe SATA drive.  My daughter spilled a glass of milk on her old ASUS 360C laptop.  The milk went through the keyboard holes and fried the laptop.  I pulled the NVMe drive, the first adapter failed since it did not support B&M SATA drives.  This adapter worked perfectly.

  50. Lynn says:

    I gave up on the VM for now.  I could not figure out how to access my hard drive from the VM.  

    On VirtualBox?

    Once the guest additions are installed in the VM, sharing folders from the host should be fairly straightforward. For Windows guests, I believe that the shared folders look like network shares to the OS.

    My experience with Windows guests in VirtualBox is pretty limited. I usually run Linux guests on a Windows host.

    The VMWare VM.  At least I could get Windows 7 Pro x64 running in it.

  51. Lynn says:

    You know, I do wish that the under bridge dwellers would take a bath once in a while.  They sure do stink up the place.  You would think that their Moms would inspect the basement once in a while.

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  52. ITGuy1998 says:

    Isn’t the answer clear? Well, maybe not – maybe it’s as clear as the reason this post will soon disappear.

    Ahh, the other half of the split personality appears. 

  53. Greg Norton says:

    The VMWare VM.  At least I could get Windows 7 Pro x64 running in it.

    VMware got cut loose by Dell this year, and the company has been quietly laying off staff ever since.

    One of the West Coast Chinese relations who was a big wheel at VMware lost his job in June.

  54. ITGuy1998 says:

    I gave up on the VM for now.  I could not figure out how to access my hard drive from the VM.  
     

    Think of the vm as  another physical machine. You would need to share out your hard drive for it to be accessibl.

  55. drdrwilliams says:

    A giant sunspot may be about to erupt, sending out the most powerful form of solar flares growing for days.

    Sunspot AR3089, which is facing towards the Earth, has now developed a delta-class magnetic field, meaning that it has built up enough energy that it may release X-class solar flares.

    According to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is around a five percent chance that the sunspot will release an X-class flare. If it does, the flare may trigger a powerful geomagnetic storm in the Earth’s atmosphere, possibly resulting in damage to infrastructure and electromagnetic communication systems.

    uh-oh

    I’d better finish binge-watching All Creatures Great and Small.

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  56. Lynn says:

    I gave up on the VM for now.  I could not figure out how to access my hard drive from the VM.  
     

    Think of the vm as  another physical machine. You would need to share out your hard drive for it to be accessibl.

    Oh, I could not even get the networking to work in the VM, something was wrong.  Like I said, I gave up, too much time for my reward.

  57. Nightraker says:

    The Power of the United States, a Survey: geography, economy, military

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BubAF7KSs64

    40 minutes, worthwhile.

  58. Rick H says:

    How about some 1080p glasses with audio?  See here.  Story includes a short video. They don’t look as clunky as VR devices.

    Lenovo is the latest company promoting a USB-C monitor made for your face. The company’s new Glasses T1 put a Full HD OLED screen in front of each of your eyes and were revealed today during IFA and on Lenovo’s virtual showcase.

    The Glasses T1 use a physical wire to connect to devices like PCs, tablets, smartphones, Macs, and other devices that can output video through USB-C.

    They have a place for prescription glasses if you need them. No pricing or ETA yet – although the article says it will be released first in China.

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  59. Lynn says:

    “Workforce Participation”

         https://areaocho.com/workforce-participation/

    “Much ado is being made of the fact that unemployment claims are at a two month low. Biden will most assuredly make a big deal out of it. That number means little. What matters is the labor force participation rate. For July, that stands at 62.1 percent.”

    “Back at the turn of the millennium, 66 percent of Americans were working. That number dropped during Obama’s Presidency, all the way to 62.8 percent by December of 2016.”

    “Then Trump took over. By February of 2020, it had regained a quarter of what was lost and rebounded to 63.4. The left couldn’t have that, so enter the COVID shutdown. Now Biden is rejoicing as the labor force participation rate hovers at a level that is even less than Obama’s low.”

    A lot of people are working off the books. Mostly illegals or else they are working on a stolen social security number. The IRS knows the real numbers of how many hundreds of people are sharing a single social.

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  60. Greg Norton says:

    Quick Sam’s run today.

    Two 4 packs of 2L soda bottles and a 10 pack of Cream of Mushroom soup.

    $30.

    Darth Biden owns inflation.

  61. ITGuy1998 says:

    We watched the first episode of The Lord of the Rings – The Rings of Power tonight. It wasn’t bad. Pace was kind of slow, but I expect that now with a lot of shows, and they do have to setup the world.  3 out of 5 star for now.

  62. drdrwilliams says:

    Tired long ago of JRRT and the LOTR endless journey of “Every Day A Shiite Sandwich, White Bread no Mustard” finally served with a side of Hobbit finger.

    The first two books of Gormenghast were filmed more than 20 years ago and left uncompleted. Gaiman was announced as having rights in 2018–ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

    There are over 70 other books in Ballantine’s Adult Fantasy series not written by JRRT. Some of them are shocking proof that he didn’t invent fantasy. 

    Second thought, better to leave all that alone until the doctors for the mentally ill decide they can define a woman and anyone who can’t is nucking futs.

  63. Nick Flandrey says:

    Had a nice fire and sat out on the dock after all.   Nice night.   Bit cloudy and 75F with damp chill.  Fire took care of that, and a nice soggy pine branch smelled nice for over an hour.

    Not a ton of activity on the lake despite the long weekend.

    I guess we’ll see what happens tomorrow and Monday.

    n

    (would be nice if the solar flare thing came with at least a time range..)

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