Thur. Aug. 15, 2019 – first day of school

76F and 99%RH. Rain didn’t continue much past the initial downpour, but the cooler temps did.

First day of school. So exciting, so terrifying!

Most of their immediate classmates will be very familiar to them. The school does move kids between two homerooms to break up cliques and try to keep down the drama. They had 4 kids not return this year, and they have a few new kids in the ‘mainstream’ class. I’ll have to wait a bit to see what the actual enrollment numbers look like, but my guess is fewer than expected overall, especially among the migrants.

Oh, and the bus drivers are all over the scanner today. First day for them too.

Meanwhile, we’re watching to see if commies do what commies usually do in Hong Kong, what the markets will do today, and waiting to see if today is the day it all goes pear shaped. I certainly hope not, I’ve got more stacking to do.

Stay frosty today.


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Wed. Aug. 14, 2019 – meet the teacher

81F and 96%RH this am. Early this am. Did I really get up this early every day for school? Yes I did. I sure don’t feel like it today though.

Today we’ll be meeting the kids teachers and tomorrow is first day of school. Yikes. Fall is fast approaching. I used to consider Fall to be start of school, but we haven’t even had Labor Day yet, and there is plenty of hot sun left in the year.

Our school district added a Chief of Security and Safety. Unfortunately they promoted from within, and although the guy is a 28 year veteran of the District, they didn’t list a single credential related to his new job. They also promised campus based advisor teams, maybe I can get on ours. I guess we’ll see. I think it’s a step, hopefully in the right direction.

The world continues on its way. Perhaps the mess in Hong Kong will keep China’s attention focused inward for a while. Hmm, funny how that might work. How very convenient…

And Epstein’s guards might have been asleep on the job, literally. Funny that a guy so connected, so important as a potential informer, so much the focus of attention, could succeed with a suicide while in custody. No matter which way you look at it, from what starting or ending point, it’s Banana Republic time when it can happen in a federal lockup.

Keep stacking. We are further along than we realize.


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Tues. Aug. 13, 2019 – up early

80F and 95%RH early this morning. Sunny and hot yesterday. Sunny and hot forecast for today.

I’m getting up earlier and earlier this week and waking the kids in a vain attempt to ease into the school year schedule. Heck, I want to be back in bed, they’re practically catatonic.

The world is continuing to change. India and Pakistan are rumbling. Iran, Brexit, Italy….Hong Kong, France….

Financials are starting to show the cracks I’ve seen in the economy too. Gold is up pretty dramatically. Silver too on a percentage basis. Stocks are all over the place but the indexes are generally down. Hedge funds are losing money and closing, with famous guys admitting fundamentals don’t matter anymore, only twitter and headlines and programmed trading. Oh, and Argentina had its stock market lose half its value in one day on political news. Does that sound like a robust economy or a fragile house of cards? In what way is ours fundamentally different?

The “pig ebola” is still wiping out pork in China, and the flooding in the midwest will have an effect on pricing and availability of staples here and abroad.

Real ebola is still spreading. The vaccine has slowed the spread, but if it jumps outside the ring in someplace like Goma, then it’s “game on”.

Lots of doom and gloom.

But, people lived through the collapse of Rome. They lived through the collapse of the British Empire. They lived through the Argentinian collapse, and they’re living through Venezuela’s collapse. Economic collapses don’t kill millions, as Sarah Hoyt points out on her blog. They DO cause severe disruptions in peoples’ lives though. Venezuelans who have taken up prostitution to live are probably not happy about it. Venezuelans who have fled their country by the millions are not happy about it. The ones left behind facing violence, starvation, and lack of medical care aren’t happy, although many will “live through it”.

How we live through it, what we have to do to get through it, those we have some influence over. It may not kill you, but wouldn’t it be nice not to have to eat your pets or sell your daughter to slavers?


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Mon. Aug. 12, 2019 – easy to criticize…

80F and 95%RH this morning.

H/T to CommanderZero for the article link. Someone in his comments points out issues with the study and the authors. Nothing that invalidates my points.

I’m taking a bit of time to fisk this article, ‘cuz preaching to the choir is more fun than whatever I’m supposed to be doing today…

Study Finds Rise In ‘Doomsday Prepping’ Due To Mainstream American ‘Culture Of Fear’
by John Anderer

CANTERBURY, England — “Doomsday prepping” or stockpiling food, medicine, weapons and other supplies in case of an apocalyptic scenario has long been considered peculiar behavior only exhibited by conspiracy theorists and other extremists in the United States.

–really? says who?

However, such prepping has actually been steadily on the rise in the U.S. over the past decade. So, what’s causing this surge in stockpiled rice packets and underground bunkers? One group of researchers say it is an ever growing sense of impending doom in American culture.

–or maybe people are waking up?

Many have speculated that this surge in doomsday preppers over the last 10 years was linked to an extreme political reaction among many conservatives to Barack Obama’s initial election in 2008, but a new study out of the United Kingdom finds that neither the Obama presidency nor extreme right-wing conspiracy theories in general are the main cause of this growing phenomenon.

— hmm, so maybe your per-conceived notions didn’t survive contact with actual fact??

Researchers interviewed preppers from 18 U.S. states and asked about their motivations for stockpiling food and supplies.

–imagine that, actually talking to people and ASKING!

The results indicated that, although most did seem to be conservative and fear liberal policies, the main reason behind their motivations was the overall sense of fear currently dominating U.S. culture across a variety of media channels. Most Americans can’t seem to log online or turn on the television without being hit by a grim view of the future being reported or speculated on.

–so what about the ’70s? Talk about grim futures in media…The Omega Man, Planet of the Apes, Soylent Green, nuclear winter, Silent Spring, Andromeda Strain, Rollerball, Serpico, Taxi Driver. Ok baby duck, might want to look past the day you were born.

Potential occurrences commonly worried about by preppers include possible economic depressions, terrorist attacks, cyber-attacks, pandemics, or environmental disasters.

–and we know that those are UNPOSSIBLE, because they’ve NEVER happened before, and even if the did, humans are so much better now (despite that pervasive grim future mentioned above.)

Furthermore, researchers say that frequent recommendations from the U.S. government on how to prepare for potential disasters, such as when residents of certain communities are advised to stockpile water in preparation for a hurricane or blackout, have also contributed to the rising number of doomsday preppers in the United States.

–yup, because you’d never want to be prepared when a hurricane is bearing down on you, or the power goes out. And notice the conflating of having some WATER with ‘doomsday prepping.’

The study’s authors say their findings paint a more nuanced picture of doomsday preppers and their motivations, especially since up until now most were simply considered crazy or delusional.

–your editorial comment says more about you than them, baby duck.

According to their results, most preppers don’t believe the world will end tomorrow or a giant meteor will hit the earth at any moment, they simply want to be prepared for anything “just in case” something terrible happens.

–but that can’t be right, because papa gov would never let anything bad happen to them….

Researchers note that while extreme right-wing ideologies don’t seem to be the main cause of these fears and preparations, the general idea among many conservatives that if a Democrat regains control of the White House it will inevitably lead to chaos remains very much connected to the phenomenon of doomsday preppers. At the end of the day, though, that is just another possible event for conservative preppers to fear, and not the main cause.

–seems pretty reasonable fear when mobs are marching in the street calling for conservatives to be exterminated…

“Fear is now deeply entrenched in modern American culture and is the principal reason that so many citizens are engaging in ‘prepping’,” explains lead author Dr. Michael Mills in a release.

According to Mills, these preppers believe that if the worse were to happen, the government’s response simply wouldn’t be adequate and many people would be left to fend for themselves.

–or in other words, they’ve looked at what happened in the previous bad things, and saw the truth.

“Rather than seeing prepping as an exception within America’s right-wing political culture, we ought to see it as being reflective of increasingly established and popular outlooks,” Mills comments.

–and finally a bit of rational thought and honesty, notably from the actual study’s author and not the article’s author.


The mindset of the article’s author sorta stuns me. That willful blindness to reality, and the arrogant assumption that everyone else shares his/her/zer’s worldview is really quite extraordinary for someone who looks around with open eyes and lives in the REAL world.

I’d be willing to bet money that when SHTF, the author cries, pouts, stamps feet, and DEMANDS that anyone better prepared than s/he/zer be forced to share their preps too.

Sorry snowflake, ain’t gonna happen.


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Sun. Aug. 11, 2019 – Sunday, that’s my fun day…

89F and 80%RH. Sunny and hot, who woulda thunk it?

Well, the sleepover went well. Second time here for both girls, so less getting up at night, and not sleeping. Still, it was midnight at least before they slept. So I’m not totally surprised that they let me sleep in. It was a nice change.

Their ‘baking club’ made a bunch of “cake pops” which are little spheres of cake on sticks, and decorated them in various ways yesterday. They were de-li-cious! Baking has so many good learning things in it, measuring, following directions, delayed gratification, working carefully, math, etc. Now it’s not carpentry, or riding minibikes in the woods, but it’s more than 50% of their classmates have done.

And that right there is pretty sad.


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Sat. Aug. 10, 2019 – Nuts!

79F and 90%RH. Another sunny day… and HOT!

I’ve got my non-prepping hobby meeting today. It’s been great meeting people I would never have met, and it got me into the ham radio lunch group, where I’ve met even more people, including some who are prepping. Get out into meatspace!

Other than adding a couple of cans to the shelves, prepping was pretty slow this week. I did buy a couple of submersible pumps for <$10. I've never really needed pumps, but with all the flooding we get, it seemed prudent to grab them since they were so cheap. Garden continues pretty much unchanged. Still only one orange on the tree. Two tiny apples on one tree, none on the other. Something is eating the leaves from one of the apple trees, so I'll be spraying a broad insecticide later today. I checked, and it's a cuke vine that has survived in the side garden. Not producing cukes yet, but still alive. That beats all the other zukes and cukes. Pepper plants still producing more than I eat, but that's it. I'm looking forward to getting something in the ground for fall. The world around us continues towards war and madness. The Russians seem to be having a bit of trouble, first with their sub, now with a missile... India and Pakistan are back at it. China's still pushing it in the areas it wants to intimidate. Iran is still nuts. Domestically, people are losing their minds. Epstein's web of connections is finally coming to light. HRC has faded from the public consciousness though, which is worrying- I like to SEE the spiders, not have them spinning in the dark. WRT public violence, we're just getting started folks. CW2 seems to be an idea that keeps growing and becoming widespread. Those sorts of ideas have a way of becoming a self-fulfilling prophesy. It doesn't take long for things to change dramatically once that switch flips. I think moving local organized violence up your list of reasons to prep is a smart move at this time. That means stealthing out, getting out of dodge, or increasing defensive measures. Or all of the above. Prices on defensive tools are still reasonable. The panic hasn't started yet. Don't put off any needed purchases too long. Consider armor. I think it will be next on the chopping block. Extremity injuries are much easier to deal with than chest and abdomen, just saying. One of our compatriots is putting his plan into action and moving to reduce his exposure to the primary risk here in the Houston area- hurricanes and flooding. I'm a bit amazed, and definitely supportive. Make a plan, act on it! Stock up, stack it high, and get out into your community. Local local local... nick as always, share what you've gotten done lately

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Fri. Aug. 9, 2019 – civilization, literally to live in cities

81F and 96%RH this am. This is the time of year we set the thermostat lower than we’d like, and have it colder in the house in the morning. Over the course of the day, the AC can’t quite keep up, even with the cold start, and by late afternoon, it’s a few degrees hotter than we’d like. Oversizing the AC system can help with this, and there are ways to make the oversized system fairly efficient. Additional air sealing and insulation helps too. We haven’t done any of those things. It’s just a short period of time, and the cheapest solution is to do nothing…

@Brad said this yesterday– “After the gun confiscations, it’ll be knives next. Just like the UK …Taking away one of the basic tools of civilization. ” He nailed it. It goes even further though. The process of ‘civilization’ was literally the process of living in cities. It’s the process of developing rule of law, so that people can believe that if someone wrongs them, they don’t have to do something about it themselves, the city/the law/the people who govern will address the issue. Specialization, improvements in agriculture, and other factors contributed, but learning how to live right next to someone from outside your clan was an important step.

And they are taking that away as fast as they can- killing civilization. You don’t even need equality before the law, you just need to know what the law is, and HOW the law will be applied. The stupid bastards are breaking that by making it impossible to know or follow all the laws, and by wildly inconsistent application of the law. They’ve been doing it for decades, but we are now reaping the whirlwind.


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Thur. Aug. 8, 2019 – tired again

80F and 80%RH this morning.

You know, getting these posts ready the night before and having them drop automatically is very convenient. Too bad I didn’t do that last night.

Instead I started a book. And a couple of hours later I was still up, which means, 4 hours of sleep until getting up to make the wife breakfast. I’m old enough four hours is woefully inadequate.

So, short shrift today.


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Wed. Aug. 7, 2019 – countdown to school

84F and 85%RH this morning. It got plenty hot yesterday, and we did get a sprinkle of rain, depending on where and when you were in town.

I managed to run some errands yesterday, despite having the kids with me. I’ve got more to do today. 8 days to the start of school for us, and I’ve got mixed feelings. There were things I’d hoped to do with the kids at home this summer, that didn’t get done. But I also don’t seem to get anything done while they’re home. I haven’t yet found the balance I need there.

Wife slept in, so I did too. Time to make the donuts…


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Tues. Aug. 6, 2019 – bad mood

78F and 93%RH this morning, with the sun poking out.

Didn’t sleep well. Bad dreams continued into this morning, and started me off on the wrong foot.

The news hasn’t made it any better.

3rd world pissants have made and used deadly drone aircraft… and yet no one much seems to be talking about what this means for the world.

The whole world is in turmoil, and things are not going to end well. I know, doom and gloom for at least the last several years… but look at the changes in those last years.

The geo-political landscape really is changing. The world is rearranging itself and we are caught up in it.

Like the list of crime in my previous post, start listing the big changes in the last two years, and it gets surprising quickly how big and how fundamental some of those changes were.

Stay frosty my friends.


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