Category: science kits

Saturday, 4 May 2013

08:40 – Barbara’s father is back in the hospital. She made a quick stop at the supermarket and library on the way home from work yesterday, and then headed out to cut the grass while I made dinner, timed for 6:30. Around 6:15, Frances called to say that their dad had fallen while getting out of her car on their way back from a doctor’s appointment for their mom. He wasn’t injured, he’d pretty much just sat down rather than actually fallen, but he wasn’t strong enough to get up. Frances got a couple of the staff at their retirement village to help get him up and into his wheelchair. Frances said it wasn’t an emergency, and just to let Barbara know to call her when she finished mowing the lawn. She said they couldn’t leave Dutch with just Sankie to help him, so they were going to have to start staying over there at night.

As I was talking to Frances, my call-waiting beeped, but by the time I was able to hookflash over to the new call it had been disconnected. The caller ID showed it was Barbara’s parents’ apartment calling, so I called back. Sankie answered the phone, obviously very upset. I asked if she’d just called, and she said she had. She said Dutch had fallen and Barbara needed to come over right away to help them. I asked Sankie if she meant that Dutch had fallen again, in the apartment, or if she was talking about his fall out in the parking lot that Frances had just told me about. She was obviously confused, and just hung up. So I called Frances’s cell phone back. She’d been out in the parking lot moving the car, and arrived back in Dutch and Sankie’s apartment just as I called. She said her mom was talking about the fall she’d just told me about, and that he hadn’t fallen again.

I heard Barbara just finishing up outside. When she came upstairs, I told her what was going on. She called Frances back and told her to call 911 and have Dutch transported to the hospital. Barbara said Dutch’s symptoms were exactly what they’d been the last time they’d brought him home from the hospital and had to turn around immediately and take him back. She told Frances that she was going to change clothes, eat a quick dinner, and then head over to the hospital.

Barbara left around 7:00 for the hospital, and got home about 2:30 this morning. I’m sure she’ll post more details on her page when she has time to do so.


10:24 – I’m still trying to get a reasonable projection of what our science kit sales might be for the year. A big part of the problem is that our sales are extremely seasonal. More than 90% of our sales last year occurred in the last seven months of the year. Put it this way, in 2012 we had higher sales in our biggest month (August) than in the first six months of the year combined. And in every month so far in 2013, we’ve had higher revenue in that month than we had in the entire first quarter of 2012.

The scary part is that in 2012 we shipped less than a dozen kits on our biggest day. If the current sales trajectory holds up, in 2013 we may need to be prepared to ship 60 or more kits on a big day, which obviously means we’ll need to have a boatload of kits in inventory come July. I’m not even entirely sure that I can process 60 orders and ship 60 kits in one day. And, of course, the other scary part is what happens if somehow this sales increase is just a blip. I’d hate to end up with several hundred kits in inventory and no orders to fill.

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Thursday, 2 May 2013

08:17 – The morning paper says we have measles in a neighboring county. The apparent source is a Hare Krisha commune. The paper says the Hare Krishnas “discourage” vaccination. Geez. The article also says that, according to the CDC, of every 1,000 children who are infected, one or two will die. That’s actually understating the problem. In recent outbreaks, mortality rates have varied from about 0.1% to more than 1%.

A lot of people who read these figures may find them worrying but not terrifying. After all, a 0.1% to 0.2% mortality rate is bad, but it’s not the black plague. The problem is that measles, like all viruses, tends to mutate. And while the current strain, which probably originated in the first half of the 20th century, has a mortality rate under 1%, historically some measles strains have had mortality rates of 70% or thereabouts. That’s 700 dead people of every 1,000 infected. And no one knows if or when another deadly strain will develop. Avoiding inoculation is playing with fire.


UPS showed up at dinner time yesterday with a bunch of boxes. Our living room is now populated with hundreds of splash goggles, hundreds of lab thermometers, hundreds of disposable scalpels, hundreds of teasing needles, etc. etc. And I just cut another purchase order for hundreds of beakers, graduated cylinders, and other kit components. That’ll be it for a while. I’m starting to run out of storage space for component inventory.

My bottle-top dispenser died the other day. It’s a pretty cool device. It works kind of like those pumps they use in ice cream shops to dispense toppings. There’s a slider that can be set to dispense any volume from 2.5 mL to 30 mL, accurate to 0.1 mL. The pump sits on top of a reservoir bottle. To fill a container, I simply lift the pump body, put a bottle under the dispensing tip, and press down on the pump. Using it, I can fill 350 to 400 bottles an hour, or twice that many if Barbara is capping the bottles as I fill them. It’s definitely not something I want to do without.

As it turned out, the thick glass cylinder inside the pump body had cracked longitudinally. I checked the manual, and found that nowhere did it list the name or contact information for the manufacturer. So I called the wholesaler I’d bought it from. They said they’d send me a replacement cylinder but that they didn’t have any in stock, so it might be a week or so before it shipped. I decided this was something I needed to have a spare for, so while I had them on the phone I gave them a verbal purchase order for another dispenser, this one a 5 to 60 mL unit with a 2,000 mL heavy glass reservoir. That ships today, so I should have it early next week.

The units cost about $200 each, but as I told Barbara last night even if it had turned out that the original unit wasn’t under warranty and couldn’t be repaired, it would still have been worth it. I’d used it to fill a few thousand bottles, at cost of a few cents a bottle. Simply in terms of time saving, that unit had already paid for itself.


11:22 – I just made up two liters of 1.5% methylcellulose, a viscous solution that’s used to slow live protozoa when viewing them under a microscope. Methylcellulose has an interesting property: it’s freely soluble in cold water, but insoluble in hot water.

The first time I ever made up methylcellulose solution, I had that fact firmly in mind, which just goes to show that a little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. I sprinkled the methylcellulose into ice-cold water and ended up with a globby mess. The problem is, the stuff clumps, resulting in little globs with slimy surfaces and dry powder inside the blob. The best way to make up the solution is to sprinkle the methycellulose power gradually and with stirring into very hot water, in which it’s insoluble. You end up with a suspension of the powder, which you then cool in an ice bath. The tiny solid particles in the suspension dissolve as the water cools, and you end up with a nice, even, non-globby solution.


12:00 – This is simply beyond belief. And public schools wonder why they’re losing so many of their best students to homeschooling.

Subject: Fwd: [IP] 16-Year-Old Girl Arrested and Charged With a Felony For Science Project Mistake | Alternet
From: “Dale Dougherty”
Date: Thu, May 2, 2013 11:24 am
To: Online Editors at Make
Robert Bruce Thompson
Brian Jepson

Insane.

———- Forwarded message ———-
From: *DAVID J. FARBER*
Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2013
Subject: [IP] 16-Year-Old Girl Arrested and Charged With a Felony For
Science Project Mistake | Alternet
To: ip <ip@listbox.com>

http://www.alternet.org/civil-liberties/16-year-old-girl-arrested-and-charged-felony-science-project-mistake?akid=10386.21554.88KhZl&rd=1&src=newsletter833535&t=3

16-Year-Old Girl Arrested and Charged With a Felony For Science Project Mistake

A Florida teen with an exemplary record is facing federal charges after conducting what a classmate calls “a science project gone bad.”

16-year-old Kiera Wilmot is accused of mixing housing chemicals in a small water bottle at Bartow High School, causing the cap to fly off and produce a bit of smoke. The experiment was conducted outdoors, no property was damaged, and no one was injured.

Not long after Wilmot’s experiment, authorities arrested her and charged her with “possession/discharge of a weapon on school property and discharging a destructive device,” according to WTSP-TV. The school district proceeded to expel Wilmot for handling the “dangerous weapon,” also known as a water bottle. She will have to complete her high school education through an expulsion program.

Friends and staffers, including the school principal, came to Wilmot’s defense, telling media that authorities arrested an upstanding student who meant no harm.

“She is a good kid,” principal Ron Richard told WTSP-TV. “She has never been in trouble before. Ever.”

“She just wanted to see what happened to those chemicals in the bottle,” a classmate added. “Now, look what happened.”

Polk County Schools stands by its decision to expel Wilmot, asserting in a statement, “there are consequences to actions,” and calling Wilmot’s experiment a “serious breach of conduct.”

h/t Reason


12:44 – I may have been mistaken in my first reaction to the story of the girl charged with a felony. I just got off the phone with Carmen Drahl at Chemical and Engineering News. She told me a bit more, although she’s having a hard time getting solid information because, as she said, “everyone has lawyered-up”. But it’s possible that this girl actually committed a terrorist act. Or it may be that she simply had an experiment go wrong without realizing the dangers of what she was doing. Without knowing her motivation, it’s impossible to say whether she had bad intentions.

Carmen informed me that her experiment involved reacting aluminum with drain cleaner, but we don’t know the details. I suspect the “drain cleaner” was sodium hydroxide (lye). If so, the reaction with aluminum produces hydrogen gas. If the reactants are confined in a soda bottle or other container, the pressure of the hydrogen increases until the container bursts, splatting concentrated lye solution over anyone in the vicinity. Getting concentrated lye solution in the eyes will permanently blind someone in literally five seconds flat, and will also cause severe chemical burns to exposed skin.

Our local paper has reported several incidents in the last few years of someone leaving one of these nasty little devices where someone can find it. They look just like a soda bottle partially filled with water, but if you pick one up that causes the lye solution to contact the aluminum foil. Very quickly, the bottle bursts and sprays lye solution over the unfortunate person who picked up the bottle. Most people think these devices are placed by teenagers as a prank. Some prank. These devices have only one purpose: to kill or seriously injure a person or pet who disturbs them. There is no question in my mind that making and placing one of these devices is a terrorist act.

But again, the key question is the girl’s motivation. She may have just done something stupid, with no intent to harm anyone. Teenagers do stupid things. So do adults. But if this girl intended to harm someone with her experiment, expelling her and prosecuting her for committing a terrorist act is appropriate. My guess, not knowing much about the case, is that she had no intent to harm anyone. But we need a lot more information before we can know for sure.


16:56 – After reading more about the situation from several sources, I’m now convinced that this young woman had no intention of hurting anyone. She’s a straight-A honors student, liked by everyone. She’s never been in any trouble before. Both the students and the teachers and administrators say she’s a good person. She appears to be a victim of the mindless “zero-tolerance” policies that are so popular nowadays. Release the girl, I say.

It sounds to me as though she did this on school grounds because she lives in an apartment and didn’t have anywhere safe to work, pursuing her love of science. That’s a failing on the part of the adults around her, but I’m afraid she’ll end up paying the price for their failures. And, apropos of nothing, Barbara just sent me this:

papierlose-welt

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Wednesday, 1 May 2013

08:22 – Barbara took her dad to the doctor yesterday morning for a follow-up appointment. We didn’t get any phone calls overnight, so apparently Dutch settled in successfully for his first night at home. Barbara is leaving work early this afternoon to take her mother to a doctor’s appointment. Her mom has yet another appointment tomorrow, but Frances is taking her to that one.

We’re now up to about five dozen assorted biology and chemistry kits in finished-goods inventory. I’m building a batch of forensic kits today, using the finished subassemblies we have in stock. Next on the schedule is a batch of 30 life science kits, followed by 60 more biology kits and 60 more chemistry kits. After that, it’ll be lather, rinse, repeat for the rest of this year. May is historically a pretty slow month, about like April. But things start to pick up in June, before the crazy time starts in July and August. June should be about three times the May’s volume, and July and August each three or four times June’s volume. So, for the next six months or so, my life will be spent making up chemicals, filling bottles, issuing purchase orders, building subassemblies and kits, and processing orders and shipping kits. Not that I mind. I like to stay busy, and I like making stuff.


14:28 – I just called Katie Dugan, my vendor rep at American Educational Products, to check price and availability on some items for a purchase order I’m putting together. Every January, AMEP offers four coupons for things like free shipping on any order over $750, a 10% discount on any order over $300, and so on. So, intending to use one of the free shipping coupons, I gave Katie the item numbers and quantities to verify: 30 dozen each 10 mL graduated cylinders and 100 mL graduated cylinders, 30 dozen 250 mL glass beakers, and so on.

I’d also intended to order some chemicals from Katie, mostly the same ones I’d ordered from her late last year. Stuff like 2.5 liters of 30% ammonia, several 500 mL bottles each of n-butanol and glacial acetic acid, and so on. AMEP doesn’t actually carry chemicals, but their sister company, eNasco, does. And the last time I ordered chemicals from Katie, they were actually shipped from eNasco. The problem is, eNasco is retail-oriented, and they apparently have no one on staff who has any clue about hazardous shipping regulations. So for my prior order, eNasco had essentially shipped everything as hazardous, with each bottle as a separate shipment. That means they had to pay a separate hazardous shipping fee for each bottle. What they should have done was combine all of the bottles in one box. If they’d done that, they’d have had to pay only one hazardous shipping surcharge instead of a dozen or more. Needless to say, eNasco billed AMEP for the shipping charges, which probably totaled several hundred dollars rather than the $27 it should have cost them. I apologized to Katie and told her that I’d never have ordered from them if I’d realized how much “free” shipping was going to end up costing them. And I suggested that eNasco really, really needs someone on staff who understands at least the basics of hazardous shipping regulations. That’s non-trivial. In fact, it’s almost a full-time job. Different requirements apply to different chemicals. For example, for shipping under the Limited Quantity Exemption (which is completely different from the Small Quantity Exemption, which in turn is completely different from the ORM-D exemption, which is being eliminated anyway), you may be able to put 5 liters of one chemical in a single package, but only 500 mL of a different chemical. There are also restrictions on which combinations of chemicals are allowed to share a box. As Katie said, they learned an expensive lesson.

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Tuesday, 30 April 2013

09:15 – Barbara called last night around 7:30 to say her dad was back at home and doing pretty well. I was mistaken about Frances staying with their mom and dad tonight. Barbara said they’re going to leave their parents alone tonight and just keep their fingers crossed that Dutch will settle in.

I got another batch of biology kits assembled yesterday. Today, among other things, I’ll start building another batch of two dozen chemistry kits. With what’s already on hand, that should give us enough biology and chemistry kits to last through the end of May. Then I’ll get started on building subassemblies for the first batch of 30 life science kits, which start shipping the last week of May.


13:05 – I thought of Barbara’s father when I saw this:

I’ve assembled four dozen science kits in the last two days, which got me down to dangerously low inventory levels on several items. For example, I’m down to only four 12″ lab thermometers and less than 70 splash goggles. Fortunately, I’d just issued a purchase order this morning for 400 thermometers and 400 splash goggles, along with a bunch of other stuff. That vendor had everything I really needed in stock and they generally ship pretty quickly, so I suspect the stuff will arrive late this week or early next. I was also going to order a couple or three gross of 250 mL glass beakers, but this particular vendor doesn’t stock glassware and sells it only by the case. The trouble is, their lead time on glassware is 90 days give or take. Oh, well. I can get those beakers quickly from any of several other wholesalers.

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Monday, 29 April 2013

10:16 – Barbara’s dad gets his last IV antibiotic dose at 4:00 this afternoon. Barbara and Frances are leaving work early to pick him up from the nursing home and take him back to his apartment at Creekside. Barbara will stay with him tonight because she’s concerned that her mom won’t be able to deal with Dutch physically on her own quite yet. Dutch is now able to stand and walk, but still has some trouble getting up out of a chair and so on. Frances will have dad-sitting duty tomorrow night and then she and Barbara will decide if Dutch is able to be on his own with just Sankie there to help him.

Our finished goods inventory of science kits is getting low again, so I’ll spend some time today and tomorrow assembling more finished kits.


11:52 – Never, ever even think of ordering anything from Vitality Medical. I ordered 500 oral syringes from them a year or so ago, and they’ve been spamming me ever since. At first, it was one or two spams a week. Now it’s up to at least one a day. I’ve repeatedly clicked on the unsubscribe link in their emails, with no effect. I’ve emailed their customer support repeatedly, again with no effect. I’ve called the support number repeatedly, again with no effect.

Yesterday, I finally checked the email headers and found that apparently Vitality Medical subcontracts their spamming out to a company called Constant Contact. No shit. They do what their name says. The FTC needs to shut these bastards down.

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Saturday, 27 April 2013

08:16 – Barbara’s dad’s IV antibiotic course finishes tomorrow. She has to take him to a follow-up visit to his doctor Tuesday, so she’s going to pick him up from the rehab facility and take him back to his apartment after he visits the doctor. She says he’s up and about, which is all that’s necessary to make his own apartment the best place for him. The last thing Barbara and Frances want to do is split up their mom and dad, so they intend to keep him at the Creekside retirement village as long as possible. If/when there’s another crisis, they’ll get him to the hospital and wait until he’s well enough to come straight back home. They don’t want him in a nursing home until/if it’s completely unavoidable.

The heat sealer I ordered from Amazon arrived yesterday, and I immediately put it to the test by sealing a couple of bottles of iodine solution in a quart ziplock bag. The bags are 2-mil (0.05+ mm) polyethylene, and it takes only a couple seconds for the sealer to melt a seal into the bag. I intentionally left plenty of air in the bags so that I could check them for airtightness. They are in fact airtight, but unfortunately that doesn’t stop the iodine vapor from penetrating the bag. There’s a very, very slight iodine odor, but that’s good enough to keep the iodine vapor from staining other parts in the kits. We’re going to start including a separate iodine bottle label that people can affix to the bottle once they open the bag. I’ll probably also use the heat sealer to seal the other chemical bags in the kits.


11:36 – Barbara and I just got back from Lowe’s. We needed some 4-foot fluorescent tubes for the basement fixtures, so we picked up a 10-pack for $22. I think I’ll date the things with a Sharpie before I install them. I think some of the current tubes are original from when we installed the fixtures back in the late 80’s and early 90’s.

While we out there, I decided to pick up some chemicals for the kits. Most of the chemicals we use are reagent-grade, lab-grade, or USP, purchased from lab chemical vendors. But three of them we get from Lowe’s or Home Depot, because we use them in relatively large amounts and they’re much cheaper at a DIY super-center than they are from lab vendors. The purity is adequate for our purposes. Those three are copper(II) sulfate pentahydrate (sold as Root Kill), sodium hydroxide (sold as Crystal Drain Opener), and hydrochloric acid (sold as muriatic acid).

Years ago, before I decided to use them, I did gravimetric analyses on the copper(II) sulfate and sodium hydroxide. The Root Kill ($13 for two pounds/907 grams) is labeled as 99% copper(II) sulfate. When I tested it gravimetrically, it assayed at, IIRC, 99.7±0.1%, which is essentially reagent-grade in terms of purity. The remaining 0.3% give or take is probably almost all insoluble copper(II) oxide, which is easy to filter out. The Crystal Drain Opener is labeled as 100.0% sodium hydroxide. Gravimetrically, I got about 99.5% sodium hydroxide, but I suspect it really is 100.0% in the bottle. The problem with sodium hydroxide is that it literally sucks water vapor out of the air. You can put some dry sodium hydroxide in a weigh boat and watch the weight increase as the dry crystals absorb water. The muriatic acid is probably about lab grade in terms of purity. The stuff is manufactured simply by bubbling hydrogen chloride gas into water, so most of the contaminants in the products were in the source water. Still, it’s more than good enough for our purposes.

I also picked up a gallon (3.8 liters) of acetone in the paint department for something like $4.50 a liter. It’s certainly not spectroscopic-grade nor even reagent-grade acetone, but again it’s more than pure enough for our purposes. Acetone is produced commercially mostly directly from propylene by the cumene process or by oxidizing isopropanol, so the process itself inherently produces pretty pure product. Other than water, the only contaminants are typically low concentrations of VOCs that have no effect on the acetone for solvent purposes. We use it 50/50 with USP-grade 70% IPA for making up Sudan III stain. I’ve tested that stain made up with reagent-grade solvents, and there’s no visible difference in results compared to stain made up with the USP and technical-grade solvents.

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Friday, 26 April 2013

08:40 – For the first half of April, I thought it would be an excellent month in terms of kit sales. Last year, something like 80% or 85% of our April sales were in the second half of the month, so I was kind of expecting the second half of this April to be big as well. Not so, as it turns out. Things have been pretty dead since the 15th. We’ve sold only five kits so far in the second half of April. Still, month-to-date we’re doing very well compared to last April, and for the first four months of 2013 we’re running ahead of the total sales for the first seven months of 2012–well into our busy season–so I can’t complain too much.

Barbara was finally able to get to the gym yesterday, which was the first time in at least a couple of weeks. That was a very good thing, because the gym is a stress reliever for Barbara, and she certainly needs that given the constant crises for the last several months. It’s been just one thing after another. The amount of stress on Barbara and her sister caused by caring for their parents is similar to the stress of caring for a baby. The obvious differences are that new parents are typically in their 20’s or 30’s rather than their 50’s, and that with a baby one looks forward to the future rather than dreading it. With elderly parents, there’s nothing to look forward to except more of the same and worse.


10:54 – I didn’t notice until this morning, but Amber Marshall is now Amber Turner. Congratulations to her and Shawn. (I hope he realizes he’s not good enough for her…) Amber will soon be shooting season 7 of Heartland. I wonder if she’ll decide to be credited as Amber Turner in the new season or to keep Amber Marshall as her working name.

Our finished-goods inventory is starting to dwindle, so I’m building more science kits today and over the weekend. We’re still trying to build stock for the rush period that begins in July, but we’re constrained by backorders on a couple of key components. One of those is the thick cavity microscope slides, which are included in the biology, forensic science, and life science kits. We have apparently cornered the US supply of those slides. I had 200 dozen on order as of 15 March, with expected delivery of 15 May. Earlier this week, I got a shipment that included 41 dozen, with the remaining 159 dozen backordered, now through 17 June.

To conserve our supply, I decided to reduce the quantity included in the biology kits from a dozen to half a dozen. None of the biology labs require more than six of these slides, so cutting the number included in half allows us to build twice as many biology kits with the same number of slides. The forensic science labs actually use the whole dozen, so those kits will continue to include the full dozen. The Life Science kits include only a two-pack, so they’re not a major issue.

Rather than reduce the price of the biology kits, we’ll simply reduce the price increase that’s due to take effect soon. In fact, ordinarily we’d have increased kit prices as of 1 January, but we’ve held off on doing that. We had been adjusting (read, increasing) kit prices on 1 January and 1 July, but I decided we could afford to go to annual rather than semi-annual price changes. As of now, kit prices are scheduled to increase on 1 June. Cutting the number of thick cavity slides in the biology kits just means the prices of those kits won’t increase as much as they otherwise would have.

Meanwhile, my vendor tells me that they shipped us every box of thick cavity slides they had in stock, and there are no more to be had anywhere until their next shipment arrives. They actually did get a shipment last week, which was the one they were expecting on 15 May. But that shipment had so much breakage that they ended up refusing it and keeping only the 41 undamaged boxes that they just sent me. So I should get another 159 dozen in mid-June, and then the pipeline is dry. If I reorder around then, the new batch of slides would show up 60 to 90 days later. Unless, that is, I want to pay for air-freight in. Believe me, I don’t. These slides are glass, and I shudder to think what the air freight charges would be on a case of them coming from China.

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Wednesday, 17 April 2013

07:55 – All we can do now is wait for the FBI to determine who committed this outrage. If there’s one thing the FBI is good at, it’s accumulating and sorting through huge amounts of data, which is what they’re doing right now. FBI analysts are going through thousands of business surveillance and cell-phone videos and photographs frame by frame, looking for images of the person or people who placed the bombs. Eventually, they’ll have recognizable images of the perpetrator or perpetrators, and at that point things will begin to unravel quickly for the terrorist or terrorists. Someone will recognize and identify one or more of the people in the images, and a massive manhunt will be underway. Let’s hope the criminals aren’t taken alive.

Meanwhile, for most of us, life goes on. UPS showed up yesterday with the 2,000 beakers I was waiting for, along with some other stuff I had on backorder. Over the next few days, I’ll be doing final assembly on a few dozen more science kits. I’ll also be checking out Barbara’s sister’s desktop Linux box, which needs to be repaired or replaced. Fortunately, Frances does most of her computing on her pad and her husband uses a notebook, so they’re not in a big rush to get this system back. I can take my time and get it right.


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Saturday, 13 April 2013

08:46 – I’ll mail the tax returns today. At least I didn’t have to write a big check to the state. I did have to write a big check to the feds, to go along with the big checks I’ve been writing to them every quarter for estimated taxes. Grrrr.

I just got a UPS Ship Notification email to let me know that the 2,000 beakers I ordered the other day will arrive Tuesday. That’s a big relief, because I’ve been watching our stock of finished biology and chemistry kits dwindle, with no way to build more kits until the beakers arrive. The moment the beakers show up, I’ll get started on building two dozen more biology kits, followed by two or three dozen more chemistry kits. With what’s on hand, that should be enough to carry us for the next 30 days or so, by which time we’ll have bigger batches of kits ready to assemble.


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Thursday, 11 April 2013

07:35 – Poor Cyprus. Until yesterday, everyone seemed to be agreed that Cyprus needed €17 billion to avoid bankruptcy. The Troika would provide €10 billion of that amount as a bailout loan, and Cyprus itself had to come up with the other €7 billion. That was sufficient to gut the Cypriot economy and bankrupt its large banks. But today it turns out that things were worse than first believed, boosting the required total to €23 billion. And Cyprus has to come up with the entire extra €6 billion, nearly doubling its required share. Meanwhile, the Troika expects the Cypriot economy to contract by a disastrous 8.8% in the next year. That’d be bad enough, but no one really believes that prediction. The Cypriot government itself is expecting a contraction closer to 13%, and most economists think even that’s extremely optimistic. My own guess is that a 30% to 40% contraction might turn out to be closer to reality. Poor Cyprus. Until recently, it appeared to be a reasonably prosperous country. Now, it makes the Greek economy look good. And Portugal and Slovenia are now teetering on the edge of collapse as well.

Work on science kits continues.


14:04 – As of this morning, I still had 600 each of the 50 mL and 100 mL plastic beakers on backorder with one of my main suppliers. This is a show-stopper for us. We’re out of those beakers, which are in every kit we offer, and we can’t build more kits of any type until we get more. So I just checked with another of our major suppliers, who had 6,000 of the 50 mL and 8,000 of the 100 mL beakers in stock. I just issued a PO for 1,000 of each and notified the first vendor to clear the backorder. A thousand of each is sufficient to build 500 of the CK01A chemistry kits or 1,000 of any of the other kits, so we should be in good shape for the next few months anyway. I hate tying up working capital and storage space on a lot of units of particular items, but not when the alternative is running out and ending up dead in the water.

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