Category: politics

Wednesday, 10 October 2012

08:15 – Beginning 1 January, the Catholic church loses its tax exemption in Italy. It’s about time for something similar to happen here in the US, not just to the Catholic church, but to all churches and non-profits. There’s no good reason why churches and non-profits shouldn’t be paying property taxes and other taxes just like the rest of us. The problem, of course, is our First Amendment. Here’s the relevant portion:

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof;

That’s all it says. The first clause refers to “established” (official, state-supported) religions. The Founders meant that Congress could not force states to give up their state-supported religions, if they had one, nor could Congress establish a state-supported religion at the federal level. The second clause meant that Congress must allow people to worship (or not worship) as they chose. That’s it.

Now, strict separationists might argue that the power to tax is the power to destroy, and they have a point. But the reality is that making churches subject to the same property and other taxes that we all pay, at the same levels that we all pay, in no way violates the Constitution. I could even argue that the tax-exempt status of churches forces me to subsidize them through my property taxes, which is a clear violation of the Constitution. Why should I have to pay higher property taxes to provide them with government services that they should be paying for themselves? Why should churches get a free ride?


09:57 – Interesting article on CNN: Are we throwing away ‘expired’ medications too soon?

The short answer is yes. Much too soon. Pharma companies would argue that they have no way of controlling storage conditions and that it’s better to be safe than sorry. Of course, what they’re really doing is covering their collective asses. The reality is that most drugs stored at room temperature out of direct sunlight are probably still perfectly good after at least five to ten times the shelf life on the label. Storing them in the refrigerator or freezer increases the shelf life of most drugs dramatically.

The rule of thumb in chemistry is that a 10C change in temperature doubles or halves the reaction rate. In comparison to typical room temperature of 20C, most home freezers operate at about -30C. Call it five doublings, or a factor of 32. So, a bottle of, say, amoxicillin tablets that has a one-year expiration date should in fact be good for at least 32 years if stored in the freezer. When you consider that that amoxicillin stored at room temperature would probably maintain the vast majority of its potency for more like five to ten years, that means storing it in the freezer extends its shelf life to something on the order of 150 to 300 years.

In the interests of avoiding the monetary and other costs of discarding perfectly good drugs, it seems reasonable to me that manufacturers should extend their published shelf-lives to something more reasonable. Obviously, there’s an issue here: the only certain way to determine actual shelf lives is to wait and see. You can do accelerated aging tests at elevated temperatures, but those are not perfect substitutes for waiting one year per year at normal storage temperatures. You can also do tightly-controlled drug assays at reduced temperatures. For example, store numerous very accurately-weighed specimens at -30C and then assay a statistically-significant sample of those specimens every six months for five years. That should give a reasonably reliable trend line, although again it’s not a perfect substitute for wait-and-see.

But one way or another, we should do something about this problem. Many drugs are in short supply, some of them critically so. It’s sickening to think of how much of many of those drugs has been discarded due simply to an arbitrary use-by date on the labels. Nor am I happy about the amount of antibiotics that end up in our waste water and environment. If you want bacteria to develop resistance to an antibiotic, there’s no better way than to have that antibiotic present pervasively at low levels in the environment.

Now, obviously, there are exceptions. Some drugs can’t be frozen at all, and the slopes of the reaction rate line will differ from drug to drug. But for the vast majority of drugs, refrigerating or freezing them in storage is a good solution. I certainly wouldn’t hesitate to use amoxicillin that had been frozen for 20 years or more. In fact, I’ve done it. I have a bunch of it as well as other antibiotics in the downstairs freezer. The expiration dates on most of them are in 2013, which means they’ll really expire in about 2113. But pharmacies don’t have to go to that extreme. They should install freezers for drug storage. The drug companies can continue to label their drugs with one-year expiration dates, but the regulations that govern pharmacies should explicitly permit them to store drugs frozen for at least five to ten times the nominal expiration data, unless the drug manufacturer explicitly lists a particular drug as not being suitable for freezing to extend its shelf life. And the drugs companies should have to show credible evidence that this is the case.


16:54 – Among other things, I’m making up a lot of stains for the biology kits. My vote for the stainiest of these is crystal violet. The kits include Hucker’s Crystal Violet, which is essentially a 1% (0.01) aqueous solution of crystal violet with 0.8% m/v of ammonium oxalate. That solution is nearly opaque in a one-liter soda bottle. I’d guess that it would impart a noticeable violet cast to water at a concentration of 0.0000001 or less. Fortunately, the stuff really is water soluble, and it pretty much washes off my skin with just soap and water. It’d probably even wash out of clothing.


19:14 – I was just walking Colin when I saw/heard something I don’t see/hear every day. A full-blown race car driving down our street. At first, I thought it was the replica I mentioned here. But it wasn’t. That one was bright yellow and mostly enclosed. The one I saw tonight was a much more open frame vehicle. I don’t pay much attention to car racing but it reminded me of an Indy car.

It certainly wasn’t the car I saw parked on our street a year or so ago. That one was a replica Can-Am car with a 2-liter 4-cylinder Honda engine. The one tonight had a serious engine. I heard it coming a block away, even though it was cruising very slowly. The headlights were bright, so I couldn’t see the car itself until it came flush with me. I thought it was a Corvette until it passed me slowly. The frame was pretty open, although there were headlights and taillights mounted. I couldn’t see if there was a license plate or not, but from the lights I assume it was street legal. The exhaust tone, even at near-idle was very deep and loud, and it wasn’t because the guy had a bad muffler.

Granted, we’re in the middle of NASCAR/Winston Cup territory, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see a NASCAR racecar on a flatbed in the neighborhood. But I can’t figure out why I keep seeing different types of race cars on our street. I’m expecting to see a Stanley Steamer any day now. It did, after all, hold the speed record for steamers until a couple years ago.

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Tuesday, 9 October 2012

08:54 – More lab work today, but I should finish making up most of the solutions we need for the new batch of biology kits. Then I’ll start filling bottles.


12:58 – Angela Merkel has apparently survived her trip to Greece, although many were concerned about her safety visiting a country that has compared her with Adolph Hitler. Love Merkel or hate her, one has to admit that she is a brave woman. The Greeks laid on a personal security detail for her that included 7,000 cops, water cannon, and at least one helicopter. Of course, they’ll probably expect Germany to pay for that, just as they expect Germany to pay for everything else.

I now have all but a few of the solutions made up for the new batch of biology kits. The main ones still missing are the ones I’m lacking a chemical to make up. Everything I need is currently on order, and I still have enough spares to put together several biology kits if we need them before the chemicals show up.

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Sunday, 7 October 2012

11:00 – Autumn weather has really arrived in Winston-Salem. Our highs for the next few days are to be in the mid-50’s (~13C), with lows in the low 40’s (~5C). Now if only we’d have a hard freeze to kill all the mosquitoes.

Barbara is cleaning house this morning, after which we’ll work on biology kits. She still has a couple sets of bottles and a bunch of sets of envelopes to label, and I have solutions to make up.


12:02 – It sucks to be a Greek in Greece right now, and it’s going to get a lot worse quickly. The ECB’s Asmussen has just rejected Greek pleas for more time, which, as Asmussen correctly points out, is actually a request for more money. Time is, after all, money.

As Greece said earlier this week, it runs out of money next month. Not just money to repay outstanding loans and bonds. Greece runs out of money, period. That means no money to pay government salaries, including those of the police and military. No money to pay pensions. No money to provide even basic health services. No money to import desperately-needed food and drugs. No money, period. And no one is willing to lend them any more. At this point, Greece is already a failed state. Its last hope was the €31.5 billion bailout tranche, which has been held up for months and looks almost certain to be a chimera.

For years now, Greece has pretended to be attempting to comply with the Troika’s terms, while in fact simply ignoring them. For years now, the Troika has been pretending to be convinced that the Greek government is actually trying to comply with their terms, while being aware the whole time that Greece has never made any attempt to do so and has no intention of doing so. I’ve known all along that Greece and Greeks would eventually pay the price for 30 years of partying on borrowed money. When something can’t go on, it eventually stops.

For years now, everyone has been completely aware that Greece was going to crash eventually. And the truth is that no one really cared about Greece and Greeks then, and no one really cares now. All the EU ever cared about was preventing the crash of Greece from crashing the euro itself. The general feeling is that Greece and Greeks are going to get what they deserved all along, and they’re going to get it good and hard. If that €31.5 billion tranche isn’t granted, which I don’t expect it to be, expect to see Greece descend into complete chaos beginning late this year. By January, I expect to see Red Cross and UN humanitarian relief teams thick on the ground in Greece. Greece will become a fourth-world country by then. And, even if that tranche is somehow miraculously granted, that puts off the collapse only for a few months. Greece is going down, big-time.

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Saturday, 6 October 2012

09:00 – I see that Obama apparently ordered his minions to declare a surprising decline in unemployment to aid his campaign. Looking at the actual report makes it clear that these numbers have been massaged and spun to make Obama look good. In reality they are, as everyone expected, worse month-on-month and year-on-year. Of course, Obama is counting on the fact that the media won’t bother to look behind the headline number. The real number, the one that matters, is non-government, non-farm employment, which you’ll never see reported because it makes clear just how bad things are and that they’re getting worse with every report.

We’re working hard on a new batch of biology kits, but I’m afraid we’re going to run dry before the new batch is ready. We’re also down to about half a dozen chemistry kits, although we have another 15 of those that just need to be boxed up. Barbara is getting ready to head over to parents’ house, where the clean-up continues. They’re getting a bunch of stuff ready to be picked up Monday by Good Will. Once that’s finished they can start throwing a lot of stuff away, and then finally get started on cleaning the house itself. I’ll be working on more biology kit stuff.


11:45 – Not even close: The craziest things found in the refrigerator

They really need to visit our house. Compared to some of the stuff Barbara has stumbled on in our refrigerators, these folks are complete amateurs. Okay, I’ll grant you that the sheep’s brain would get an honorable mention here.


13:36 – This guy nails it: Obama did not ‘underperform’: we saw the real man

I almost sprayed Coke out my nose when I read the claim of Obama as an “intellectual giant”. Intellectual midget, more like. Although we’ve had some reasonably bright presidents, there’s been exactly one US president with a valid claim to that title: Tom Jefferson. None of the others have come remotely close.

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Tuesday, 2 October 2012

10:04 – Oddly, given all of the hundreds of science kits we’ve shipped, today was the first time we got an order for a kit to be shipped to an APO address. Shipping it was just like shipping any other kit, with two exceptions. First, the city was “APO” and the state was “AE”, and second I had to fill out a customs declaration, which seems strange. Oh, yeah, and USPS doesn’t give a delivery estimate for Priority Mail APO shipments. Express Mail would be delivered Friday, so I’m guessing that Priority Mail will get the box to the customer sometime next week.

It appears that Spain is likely to request a second bailout this coming weekend. Germany may be a problem, as many of its politicians are loathe to approve a second bailout so close on the heels of the €100 billion they approved for the Spanish bank bailout a couple months ago. At this point, it’s pretty clear even to committed europhiles that Spain is going down the toilet, with Italy likely to follow soon thereafter. Germany is finally waking up to the fact that its taxpayers are already on the hook for as much as €1 trillion, less whatever minor amounts they can recover after the crash. They must realize that providing additional funding in the hopes of delaying the final crash of the euro is simply throwing good money after bad. Germany, Holland, Finland, and now Austria are all sending strong signals that they’ve had enough.


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Thursday, 27 September 2012

09:37 – The riots in Athens (which the Greek government describes as “peaceful protests”) were apparently on a larger scale than most of the MSM is reporting. The Greek government estimated that 70,000 “protesters” gathered in Athens alone. The strike leaders estimated 200,000. So, based on the likelihood that both estimates are biased, I’d guess there were probably about 135,000 Greeks taking to the streets in Athens, peacefully protesting by throwing bricks and firebombs at the cops. Meanwhile, in Spain it looks like Rajoy won’t be able to hold power much longer–perhaps not even the rest of this month–and there are rumblings from senior military figures. A coup d’état is by no means out of the question, particularly if, as they have announced they intend to do, Catalonia holds the referendum on independence that the Spanish government has forbidden. And the northern tier countries have announced that there won’t be any bank bailouts for existing bad debts, which really puts Spain behind the eight ball. The eurozone is coming apart at the seams.


15:03 – I’m just back from the dentist, and I see that, as expected, Spain has released its budget for next year. It’s a joke, also as expected. But almost no one gets the joke, it seems. Next year, Spain proposes to reduce the budget DEFICIT. Not the debt, you understand. The deficit. In other words, next year Spain plans to spend more than it takes in, again, just not as much more as they did this year.

That’s not going to help. The only way out of this mess for Spain or indeed any of the other countries with large debt piles, which is to say essentially all of them, is to spend less than they take in. Much less. What Spain should have announced was that it intended to reduce the DEBT by 10% next year and every year after that until it was retired completely. Instead, they announced that they plan to increase the debt next year, and presumably every year after that. Let me know how that works out. What’s that old saying about what to do when you find yourself in a hole?

Meanwhile, Berlusconi, who at least has more sense than the eurocrats, said publicly that Germany leaving the euro would be no bad thing. No kidding. No bad thing for Germany, at any rate. The real reason Germany is still in the euro is that it’s hoping to get out without it costing them anything more than they’ve already wasted on it. That’s not going to happen. The best Germany can hope for now is to get out as cheaply as possible. That’s not going to be cheap. But it will be a lot cheaper than staying in. What Germany still doesn’t get is that a promise to pay is not the same as payment. Right now, Germany wants to keep its exports to the southern tier at a high level to avoid unemployment and other undesirable economic consequences at home. But all those Mercedes-Benzes they’ve “sold” and continue to “sell” to the southern tier for what amounts to IOUs might just as well have been given away.

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Wednesday, 26 September 2012

08:28 – Thanks to the kindness of a reader, I now have a legal copy of Windows 7 Home Premium. I attempted to install it on the new Atom system in the den yesterday afternoon, and the system behaved exactly as it had when I attempted to install several flavors of Linux. What’s worse is that it’s behaving exactly as the old Atom system was behaving. With the old system, I thought at first that the problem was the video drivers in the new releases of Linux. I then concluded that it was a hardware problem. I then replaced the system, which behaved the same way. I then attempted to install Windows 7, which behaved the same way. I now conclude that the problem is either the display, although I’ve never seen a display behave like this, or perhaps the cable, although I’ve used both analog and digital cables. The next step is to connect the old system to the TV and see if it works. If so, I’ll replace the display and cables and end up with two functional Atom systems, one for Barbara’s office and one for the den.

As we approach the end of September, kit sales are definitely getting more sporadic. Some days, we ship three or four kits, other days one or two, and some days none at all. The next couple of months are likely to be slow, averaging one or two kits a day. Things will pick up again in early December, as people start ordering kits for Christmas and the beginning of the second semester. Then around mid-January they’ll drop off again and remain slow through about April, when they’ll start to pick up again. We’ll ship a lot of kits in June and then be covered up with orders again in July and August and into September.

I want to have two more kits available for 2013, which means I need to take advantage of these slower periods to get the kits and associated manuals complete. My goal is to complete the Life Science (grade 7) kit and documentation in October and November and be ready to start shipping kits in early December. That gives me mid-January through April to do the Physical Science (grade 8) kit and documentation and have them ready for summer shipments.

Ideally, I’d like to have a third middle-school kit–Earth and Space Science–also available next year, but I don’t think that’s going to happen. I simply won’t have time to write the documentation and design and produce the kits and still get everything else done.


11:54 – Wow. If the riots in Spain were bad, the ones now going on in Greece are catastrophic. Various reports put the figures at 50,000 to 100,000 Athenians rioting in support of the general strike. I’m actually surprised that the Greek government has been able to field as many riot police as they have. The sympathies of most of those police officers must be with the rioters. And those police are facing desperate people armed with Molotov cocktails. It may not happen this time, but with Greece facing almost daily protests and riots, sooner or later the cops are going to respond with lethal force. Greece is already effectively ungovernable. Once the government starts shooting protesters, there’s no way back. And the Greek people have not yet begun to experience the level of suffering that they’re inevitably going to face. They’re throwing firebombs now. What are they going to do when the money completely runs out? We’re looking at the beginning of what is likely to become a bloody civil war.

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Tuesday, 25 September 2012

08:09 – With autumn arriving in Winston-Salem, there’s a little Jap in the air. Our overnight lows have been in the mid-40’s (~ 7C). We aren’t running the furnace yet, so during the day it’s getting down to the mid-60’s (~ 18C) indoors. We generally don’t switch over the whole-house system from cooling to heating until mid- to late-October, instead using the natural gas logs in the den on chillier evenings.

We ran out of chemistry kits yesterday, when I shipped the last one in stock, along with a couple of biology kits. Fortunately, we had another 30 chemistry kits in progress, with 15 of them requiring only boxing up. We’re in good shape on forensic science kits, but we’re down to a dozen or so biology kits, so building another 30 biology kits will be next on the to-do list. That and building the first batch of life science kits, once I’ve actually finished writing the lab manual for life science.


10:35 – Until a couple of weeks ago, I’d planned to vote for Gary Johnson. Then OFD got me to thinking that maybe I shouldn’t vote at all. Well, I’ve made my final decision. Pat Condell for President.

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Saturday, 22 September 2012

08:22 – Barbara is due back this afternoon or early evening. Colin and I can’t wait.

With only about six weeks left until the election, the EU is doing its part to help re-elect Obama. The IMF, the EU, and the ECB (the so-called Troika) were to have announced their decision about more bailout money for Greece next month. Instead, they’re delaying the announcement until after the US elections, which makes it abundantly clear what their decision is going to be. They’re going to cut off Greece, letting it go down the toilet, and they’re afraid that the inevitable economic earthquake would damage Obama’s chances. I hope that their cynical attempt to influence US elections fails miserably and that the euro collapses just in time for the election. I’d rather see the eurozone collapse entirely than see Obama re-elected. Not that O’Bomney would be much better.

I decided to expand the basic set of prepared microscope slides for the Life Science kit from 10 to 25 slides and make the slide set optional. That’ll lower the base price of the Life Science kit and avoid forcing people who already have some or all of the necessary slides to purchase something they already have. I’ll also make that slide set an option with the biology kits. I issued a PO yesterday for the first batch of 25 prepared slides. We’ll get the prepared slides in bulk and have to assemble the sets ourselves.


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Tuesday, 18 September 2012

08:09 – Colin and I are preparing for Barbara’s departure tomorrow morning. She’s heading up to the mountains for a few days with her friend Marcy. So, as usual, it’s wild-women-and-parties for Colin and me. Either that, or a Heartland marathon. We’re currently up through episode 12 of series four, so that leaves us with seven episodes in series four, 18 in series five, and one in series six to watch while Barbara’s gone, or roughly 19 hours worth. We may be able to get through those, and maybe even restart on episode 1 of series one. I also need to build more chemistry kits.

Meanwhile, events on the world stage are looking grimmer and grimmer. I’m not exactly expecting Israel to attack Iran next month, but it wouldn’t surprise me if it happened. Greece is on the brink of a literal civil war, and Spain is very close to fragmenting, with secession sentiment running rampant in the Catalonia and Basque provinces. Spain and Italy are both demanding that Germany pay their bills, but both refuse to accept Germany’s terms. Things are very close to the breaking point. And the US is led by what history will probably regard as its worst president ever. Geez.


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