Category: politics

Thursday, 13 September 2012

07:43 – Ignoring the First Amendment, the federal government is now focusing its efforts on determining who made the short video that islamists used as an excuse to attack the US embassy in Libya and murder US diplomatic personnel. I haven’t seen the video, but reportedly it is “insulting” to islam, accusing its “prophet” of child molesting, womanizing, and murder. All of those charges are true, so I don’t understand what all the fuss is about.

It seems to me that it’s long past time for the US and all other civilized countries to break off diplomatic relations with islamic regimes, withdraw their embassies to such countries, and expel the embassies of those countries. There is no point to talking with such people. There has never been a point to talking with such people. I don’t care what they do in their own countries, as long as they keep it there. Let them murder and enslave their own citizens. It’s not our business. We should shun them and their hateful so-called religion. Nor is it our business if, say, Israel decides to turn one of those islamic countries into a smoking pile of radioactive rubble.


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Tuesday, 11 September 2012

08:48 – A date that will live in infamy. Too bad we still haven’t destroyed the regimes responsible.


12:36 – It’s time to get started on a new batch of chemistry kits. As of now, we’re down to half a dozen in stock, and we’ve been selling considerably more than that in an average week. Sometimes, we sell that many in one day. So far today, we’ve sold two chemistry kits, but the day isn’t over. Fortunately, we have everything in stock we need to make up another batch of 30, although we need to assemble the individual components into subassemblies first.

Biology kits are on hold until the replacement toner cartridges arrive. Fortunately, we have more than a dozen of those in stock, which on average is a week’s supply. So far this year, we’ve avoided backordering kits, although we did have to ship next-day instead of same-day in a couple of instances. Fortunately, forensic science kits are still in good supply.

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Wednesday, 22 August 2012

09:51 – Barbara’s dad visited one of the retirement facilities yesterday and loved it. They keep one unit available for prospective residents to stay in overnight to see how they like the place. I suspect Barbara’s parents may give that a try.

It’s official. Greek living standards have already gone into the toilet, and are going to get worse. Prime Minister Antonis Samaras said, “Greek living standards have declined over the last three years by approximately 35%. A return to the drachma would immediately lower it by at least another 70%.” So, a 35% decline takes them from 100% down to 65%. A further 70% decline takes them from 65% to 19.5%. Samaras is an optimist. Their living standards are going to plummet whether they return to the drachma or remain in the euro.


12:27 – Duh. I’m currently making up Herzberg’s stain for the forensic science kits. It’s a rather involved process. I’d made up only a small amount when we were writing the book, but now I wanted to make up enough for at least 200 kits. (The stain is stable for years, but each batch differs slightly in its characteristics, so I wanted to make up a big batch to start with.) So I scaled things up a bit, which often comes to grief.

The first step is to make up a saturated solution of zinc chloride. Zinc chloride is extremely soluble in water. One liter of water will dissolve more than four kilos of anhydrous zinc chloride, producing about 2.5 liters of saturated zinc chloride solution with a specific gravity just over 2.0 g/L. Of course, zinc chloride is deliquescent, which means that standard trade material can be anything from truly anhydrous to a syrupy liquid. In practical terms, that means you don’t bother weighing out the solid zinc chloride; you just keep adding it to the liquid until some remains undissolved in the container.

So I started with 250 mL of distilled water, expecting to end up with about 625 mL of saturated solution, or about 1.25 kilos worth. I have some 1.5 liter PET wide-mouth bottles, which seemed ideal for mixing the stuff up. I even checked chemical resistance and found that PET was resistant to solid zinc chloride and saturated solutions of it. So I started by transferring the roughly 400 g of zinc chloride that remained in an open 500 g bottle to the 1.5 liter PET bottle, adding 250 mL of water, and swirling.

My first clue that I’d overlooked something was the steam condensing on the upper interior surface of the 1.5 L bottle. Ruh-roh. PET is indeed resistant to zinc chloride solutions. What it isn’t particularly resistant to is heat. Of course, I’d neglected to look up the heat of solution for zinc chloride, which turns out to be significant. It seemed possible that the solution would actually come to a boil. The bottle was softening as I watched it, deforming visibly. So I quickly poured the solution into a large polypropylene beaker. (I’d previously checked chemical resistance and found that in addition to PET, LDPE, HDPE, and PP are completely resistant to zinc chloride solutions.) PP is autoclavable, which means it can easily withstand the temperature of boiling water. It’s not possible under standard pressure for even a saturated solution of zinc chloride to boil above the softening/melting point of PP, so I knew the PP would be fine. Right now, I’m waiting for the solution to cool down before I add more zinc chloride. Now I know to use an ice bath.

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Monday, 20 August 2012

07:49 – The euro game of smoke and mirrors continues. There was concern that Greece would be unable to pay off more than €3 billion in bonds that are coming due this month, thereby forcing Greece to default (again), but Greece was able to get off a €4.1 billion bond auction last week of three-month t-bills. The problem is, it really is all smoke and mirrors. The bonds Greece has to pay off this month are held by the ECB. The t-bills that Greece sold last week were bought by Greek banks, which borrowed the money to buy the t-bills from–you guessed it–the ECB. In effect, the ECB provided Greece with a bridge loan to carry Greece just long enough to get the next installment of the bailout, which is by no means guaranteed. Talk about the Walking Dead.

We continue to build and ship science kits.


15:33 – I’m re-ordering components for the science kits, and as always our costs are going up. I just had to post a notice on the biology kit page that we’re increasing the price of that kit from $170 to $185 as of 1 October. I hate doing that, but we simply can’t absorb these increases. The current price of the kits is based on components ordered and paid for back in February, and the costs have increased significantly in the last six months. Sometimes dramatically. One component, fortunately not one of the more expensive ones, has more than doubled in price since February. The government keeps reporting that inflation is low, but that’s sure not my experience.

Meanwhile, I’m about to make up three of the nastier solutions that are in the forensic science kit. All three of them are essentially pure concentrated sulfuric acid, with 1% of something added: diphenylamine (diphenylamine reagent), ammonium metavanadate (Mandelin reagent), or formalin (Marquis reagent). If you’ve ever worked with concentrated sulfuric acid, you know that it’s a dense, oily, viscous liquid. So I’m considering how to fill the bottles for the kits.

One method I considered and ruled out was to buy an auto-burette, which is basically an automated bottle filler. Each press of the pump dispenses the volume you’ve set on the device. Using it is quick and easy, and it’d be worth while if I were filling 500 bottles at a time, or even 200. The problem is, there’s a significant amount of time and effort required for set-up, tear-down, and clean-up. Using an auto-burette to fill 30 or 60 bottles at a time actually takes more time and effort than doing it manually.

I could just fill the bottles manually from a beaker, but concentrated sulfuric acid is difficult to pour into a narrow-mouth bottle without spilling it. The kits will include only 5 mL of diphenylamine reagent and 10 mL each of Mandelin and Marquis reagents, but we’re using 30 mL bottles for all three of them because the 30 mL bottles have wider mouths than the 15 mL and smaller bottles. The solutions are so thick and viscous that it’s almost impossible to pour them into the 15 mL and smaller bottles.

But before I decide to pour from a beaker, I think I’m going to try using a 10 mL serological pipette with either a pipette bulb or a pipette pump. It’s not that I’m worried about getting too much liquid in the bottles; rather I’m concerned about dispensing too little. It’s pretty tough to judge 10 mL let alone 5 mL in a 30 mL bottle. I could dispense by weight, but weighing each bottle to make sure it meets a minimum weight is a pain in the petunia. With the pipette and pump or bulb, it should go pretty quickly. Just suck up liquid from a beaker until it’s above the 5 mL or 10 mL index line, as appropriate, and then let it run into the bottle. The only thing that concerns me is the viscosity. The liquid may take too long to run out of the pipette. Oh, well. The only way to find out is to try it.

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Friday, 3 August 2012

09:46 – Kit inventory is getting uncomfortably low, with only 15 chemistry kits and seven biology kits in stock. As of now, we’re shipping around 12 to 15 kits a week, which is a good rate for early August. That rate is ramping up, and will probably be double or triple the current rate late in August and into September. As of now, we have 30 more biology kits that need only final assembly, and 60 chemistry kits that aren’t far behind. The next batch will be 30 forensic science kits, followed by another 60 biology kits and then another 60 chemistry kits. Earlier this year, I thought I’d be pleased if we sold 60 total kits in August. It looks like that won’t be a problem.


Barbara just emailed me with very sad news. Randi Weiss, one of the attorneys at Barbara’s firm, died suddenly yesterday of cancer. Barbara’s email summed up in two sentences how everyone felt about Randi: “She was brilliant and kind. It is really a blow to the Firm.”

Randi’s doctorate was in molecular biology. I’d exchanged several emails with her and spoken with her on the phone a couple of times. I told Randi that at some point I intended to do a lab manual and kit that focused on molecular biology, and she had kindly agreed to be my tech reviewer for that project. Although I never met her face to face, I’ll miss her.


11:58 – It seems that Spain is in even worse debt trouble than anyone thought. A Polish legislator has pointed out that Spain borrowed about $60 million worth of gold from Poland about 400 years ago. At current gold prices, and assuming that Spain pays 400 years’ worth of compound interest at the natural 3% annual rate, that means Spain owes Poland just over $8 trillion. Some might argue that a debt 400 years old is impossible to collect, especially since neither Spain nor Poland is the nation it was 400 years ago. But in my opinion, debts, most especially including sovereign debts, must be paid. Of course, in effect this means that Germany now owes Poland $8 trillion, beyond whatever Germany still owes Poland for what it did to Poland in WWII. I suspect that Poland would be willing to settle for $8 trillion even.

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Thursday, 2 August 2012

08:09 – Mario Draghi made what may in retrospect be recognized as a strategic blunder last week when he announced that the ECB would do whatever was necessary to save the euro. It was certainly a tactical blunder by anyone’s standard. Draghi’s comment led to a big upswing in the markets, which took his word for it. The trouble is, it is not within the power of Draghi or the ECB to save the euro, and whatever measures he announces today will either fall well short of what is required or will exceed the authority of the ECB.

The Germans do not control the ECB, and it’s quite possible that Draghi will today announce that the ECB will grant the ESM a banking license. Doing so is not in their power, and is specifically prohibited by treaty, but that may not stop them. And if the ECB announces that it will grant the ESM a banking license, the Germans will go berserk. In effect, granting the ESM a banking license will allow it to make unlimited purchases of sovereign bonds without “sterilizing” those purchases by selling other bonds that it already holds, which means those purchases will be funded by printing money. That is the line in the sand that Germany refuses to cross. If the ECB takes this step, it paints Germany into a corner with only one way out: departing the euro and returning to its own sovereign currency. And you can bet that Germany, which absolutely refuses to give the southern tier what amounts to an unlimited right to spend Germany’s money, will depart the euro before it allows that to happen.

So, Draghi has two choices. He can announce steps that are grossly insufficient to save the euro, and the markets will respond accordingly. Or he can announce that the ECB will grant the ESM a banking license, and Germany will respond accordingly. It sucks to be Draghi.


10:00 – What a shocker. Mario Draghi announced precisely nothing, and the markets are responding accordingly. Draghi didn’t give them the ESM banking license. He didn’t even cut the interest rate. All he did was promise to do something unspecified at some unspecified future date. So much for yet another “last chance to save the euro”. News flash: there is no chance, last or otherwise, for the euro. Speaking of which, I just moved series two of The Walking Dead to the top of our Netflix disc queue.

I just spent a couple hours cleaning up my lab, unpacking and inventorying chemicals, and so on. I really need to get some horizontal space freed up.

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Friday, 27 July 2012

07:50 – This Chick-fil-A thing is getting ridiculous. As far as I remember, I’ve never eaten there, and now that I know that the company is owned by a bunch of anti-gay bigots, I never will. But for the government to deny the company the right to open a restaurant is a gross abuse of government power, and a clear violation of the First Amendment.

It’s a sad state of affairs when the polarization of American politics has become so extreme that people are arguing about whether a fast-food franchise should be allowed to open a new restaurant to serve chicken nuggets. Now, if Chick-fil-A were refusing to hire gay or divorced people, or if it were refusing to sell chicken nuggets to gay or divorced people, or if it were buying only heterosexual, married chickens, that’d be one thing. But no one has suggested that they’re doing any of those things. So the proper response here isn’t to use the force of law to prevent them from opening new restaurants. The proper response is simply to refuse to buy any of their products.


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Wednesday, 25 July 2012

09:29 – The economic news continues to get worse, with both the UK and US numbers tanking. Nearly the whole world, it seems, is determined to spend massively more than it can afford. There will be a reckoning. It will not be pretty.

It amazes me that people casually treat sovereign indebtedness figures of 100% and more of GDP as though they’re no real cause for concern. People tell me that families run similar or higher debt levels when they buy a house. But there’s a huge difference. When a family buys a house, they’re going into debt to purchase an asset. Over the course of 15 to 30 years, they devote a significant percentage of their “family GDP” to paying down that debt. And when they pay off that mortgage they are out of debt and own a valuable asset. With countries, on the other hand, the debt is structural. They are not going into debt to purchase an asset, and they are not paying the debt down. The converse, in fact; they’re adding more debt every year. And even if they do eventually pay it down, they’re left with no asset.


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Tuesday, 24 July 2012

09:48 – Spain has as much as said that it will require a full bailout imminently, although as a sop to their pride they’re calling their request a “bridging loan”. A bridge to nowhere. And Germany, Finland, and the Netherlands have as much as said that they’re finished subsidizing Greece. The next couple of months are going to be interesting, in the sense of the old Chinese curse.

What I find amusing is that nearly everyone is missing the point. They blame the so-called “austerity” measures for crushing the economies of the bailed-out countries. In reality, they’re misattributing the symptoms of the underlying disease to side effects of the treatment. The tanking economies of these countries are in the toilet not because of the mild austerity measures being enforced on them, but as a result of a decade or more of irresponsible spending and assuming commitments that were and are impossible to meet.

Austerity measures on the level necessary would in fact solve the problems. They would also reduce Greece, Portugal, Spain, and eventually Italy to the living standards of third-world countries. But that reduction in living standards is inevitable no matter what is or isn’t done. These countries partied on borrowed money for a decade. Now the money has run out, and no one is willing to lend them more. It reminds me of the days shortly after the Cuban revolution, when the USSR was heavily subsidizing Cuba.

Cuba: Send money!
USSR: Tighten belts!
Cuba: Send belts!


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Monday, 23 July 2012

10:24 – The eurozone train wreck continues, with Spanish benchmark 10-year bond yields now at 7.6% and climbing, and Italian yields well over 6%. Even more concerning is that Spain’s efforts to make it look as though the market is still supporting their debt auctions by offering only small face amounts at short maturities have failed miserably. Spanish short-term debt yields are now over 6%, a strong indication that Spain is about to lose all access to market funding. In effect, it already has. Right now, only speculators willing to risk their money for short periods at very high yields are buying Spanish debt. The market as a whole is much too risk-averse to put money into Spanish bonds, or indeed leave it in Spanish banks. That giant sucking sound you hear is billions of euros a day leaving Spain. And Italy isn’t doing much better. They’ve just announced that they may not be able to start the new school year this autumn because they don’t have the money to do so.


Meanwhile, Barbara and I are still building science kits. We just added 30 biology kits to inventory, and are most of the way through building 60 more chemistry kits. After that, we’ll build the first batch of 30 forensic science kits, and then start immediately on new batches of biology and chemistry kits.


13:05 – Wow. The NCAA let Penn State off with a slap on the wrist. What would have been an appropriate NCAA penalty for a university guilty of covering up institutionalized child rape under the auspices of the athletic program? How about expulsion from the NCAA? Not just football, but all sports. Permanently. The entire Penn State athletic program should have been eradicated and the corpse left to rot as a warning to others.


14:11 – As usual, Pat Condell gets right to the heart of the matter. American Dhimmi

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