Category: politics

Wednesday, 10 June 2015

07:33 – If you don’t already have them, you can freely download Matt Bracken’s Enemies Trilogy for Kindle today through Friday. Or you can do as I prefer to do. Download the first one as a free sample. If you like it, wait until the free offer expires and pay for the others. (H/T to OFD)

The latest in the Greek farce is that Greece and the Troika may come to an agreement that allows Greece to pretend a bit longer not to be bankrupt and in default. This agreement, if it comes to pass, won’t help Greece a bit, but of course that’s not the intention. By lending Greece enough to make payments on its existing debts for a while longer, the “institutions” can continue to carry that debt on their balance sheets as good debt rather than writing it off. That provides a political fig leaf to allow Merkel and the rest to pretend to their voters that all is well. All is anything but well.

More work on science kit stuff today.


11:03 – I’ve been doing purchase orders this morning for the stuff we’re running short of, especially stuff that is often backordered. Things like slide sets, thick cavity slides, and so on. I’m trying to keep parts inventory down as much as possible to minimize the amount of stuff we’ll need to move to West Jefferson. The only item I ordered multiple cases of was splash goggles. I ordered three cases of those because they only come 100 to a case. With what we already have on hand, 300 more should be enough to get us through the autumn rush.

Goggles are another of the items that do double duty as prepping items. I’m always surprised by how few preppers keep goggles on hand for everyone. Their use for shooting is obvious. Anyone who’s done a lot of shooting with autoloaders (let alone automatic weapons) has probably been hit in the face by an ejected case at least once. Guns that eject upwards are notorious for this, but even those that eject to the side occasionally throw an empty in your face. I even talked to a guy once who’d taken one in the face from a bottom-ejector. Then there’s always the possibility of a blown primer or split case blowing hot gas and particulates in your face. That’s why I always wear goggles rather than just shooting glasses. Goggles are also essential if it’s very cold outside or if you’re dealing with smoke and particulates from a fire or other event.

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Tuesday, 9 June 2015

07:50 – Sporadic rain with thunder from yesterday evening through the small hours this morning. During the loudest thunder at around 0300, Colin bravely jumped up on the bed and forced his way up near the head, where he curled up into a small dogball to protect Barbara and me. We ended up getting 0.62 inch total, which was badly needed.

The Greek farce continues, with all of the news outlets speculating about whether or not Greece will default and leave the euro. The reality of course, is that Greece will default. Greece has done nothing but default for most of the last 150 years. Most recently, in 2012, Greece committed the largest sovereign default in history. Greece has been bankrupt ever since it joined the euro, and is now is the position of begging additional loans to make the payments on the loans that it already has. It’s on the hook now for hundreds of billions of euros in “loans”, 60% of which are held by the IMF, EU, and ECB, AKA the taxpayers. Basically, Greeks have for decades been living far above their means, depending on other to subsidize their lifestyle. Others are no longer willing to do that, and this is all ending badly, as was predictable and predicted. Europhiles are trying to kick the can a bit farther down the road, but they’ve run out of options.

Neither the Germans nor anyone else cares about the Greeks. That ship sailed long ago. Now it’s just a question of how to get out of this mess as cleanly as possible, and the hell with the Greeks. The Greeks, meanwhile, are perfectly aware that their economy long ago flat-lined, and are determined to continue forcing the rest of the EU to subsidize their lifestyle by threatening to blow up the eurozone if the welfare payments don’t continue. Tsipras isn’t bluffing, and neither are the Troika. There’s no way this can end well.


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Wednesday, 13 May 2015

08:03 – We just got our first-ever order from Vanuatu, for two chemistry kits. I think that now makes it a total of 27 countries that we’ve shipped kits to. Of course, almost all of our international shipments go to Canada, Australia, and the UK, but it’s interesting to keep a running total of countries.

I see that that asshole Obama has declared war on Fox News. Perhaps he can shut them down by executive order. Or maybe not, since even his own party in congress is revolting against his high-handedness.

More kit stuff today.


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Thursday, 23 April 2015

09:05 – I wasn’t aware of it until a couple days ago, but it seems that Google no longer indexes comments on WordPress blogs. Making matters worse, it also seems that the WordPress search feature itself doesn’t index comments. I looked for a WordPress plug-in that would add a comment search feature, but there’s nothing available that doesn’t require creating custom templates and other stuff that I have neither the skills nor the time to do. So, basically when you post a comment it’s ephemeral and there’s nothing I can do to fix that.

I follow commodities, particularly petroleum, casually. I’m no expert, but as Dylan said you don’t need to be a weatherman. Here’s a pretty good summary of the current state of petroleum: Oil slump may deepen as US shale fights Opec to a standstill

My guess is that we’ll see oil fall into the $20 to $25/bbl range and stay there long term. There’s a glut, and I don’t see that changing any time soon. As I’ve said, we’re floating on a sea of oil, and we’re just now learning how to get to the easily available stuff.

The geopolitical implications are profound. Here’s a graphic that sums things up nicely.

Note that, at close to 30 million bbl/bay, the US is now the world’s third largest producer, behind Russia and Saudi Arabia. Note also the operating costs. For the middle east region, they’re around $5 to $6/bbl (and fixed), while the US is about twice that, and falling fast. In the next year or two, US production costs are likely to fall as low or lower than Saudi Arabia.

But production costs are a tiny part of the whole for Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Venezuela, and other OPEC members, most of which depend largely or entirely on oil revenues to fund government operations, including social programs and military spending. Those countries need oil prices above $100/bbl to break even. US oil producers aren’t carrying all these extra burdens. They can run profitably with oil prices well under $40/bbl, and by some reports well under $30/bbl. That’s very bad news for Russia, Saudi Arabia, et alia. In fact, it’s bad news for pretty much every other oil producing country, including our allies Canada, Australia, and the UK, all of which are higher-cost producers.

The one bright spot for these countries, although not for US oil producers, is that US law still prohibits exporting petroleum.

More work on kit stuff today.


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Thursday, 19 March 2015

08:08 – Moron North Carolina legislators are again falling prey to the SLAGIATT tendency of all legislators. Like most other legislative initiatives, their attempt to pass legislation to allow DNA samples to be taken from anyone arrested for (not charged with, let alone convicted of; simply arrested for) a felony or some misdemeanors will be seen in retrospect as what Seemed Like A Good Idea At The Time. Ignoring the Constitutional issues and the fact that DNA reveals much more about a person than simply his identity, the simple fact is that North Carolina cannot afford to do this. The financial cost would be extremely high, and the state crime lab is already running months to literally years behind in processing DNA evidence.

UPS just showed up yesterday with some Rhizobia inoculum, which we include in the biology kits. Rhizobia are nitrogen-fixing soil bacteria that can massively increase yields of certain crops, like peas and Lima beans. But the commercial cultures, which are basically just the bacteria on a peat moss substrate, have very limited shelf lives. The stuff we got in yesterday, for example, has a best-by date of 12/31/15. So commercial Rhizobia innoculant isn’t really suited to long-term storage.

But Rhizobia can be cultured, and it’s well-suited to putting into stasis in a solution of phosphate-buffered saline, where it remains in what amounts to suspended animation for years to decades. It can be reactivated by inoculating some sterile culture medium made by diluting a couple tablespoons of table sugar and and a few ounces of beef or chicken broth in a couple liters of water and allowing the medium to sit at room temperature for a few days. When the medium becomes visibly cloudy, you have a couple liters of inoculant liquid with trillions of Rhizobia bacteria in it. That liquid can be used directly to treat seeds.

So I think I’ll produce the PBS cultures and sell them to people who are doing long-term prepping. I considered lyophilizing (freeze-drying) the cultures, but the PBS liquid cultures will work as well and are simpler to produce.


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Wednesday, 18 March 2015

07:52 – One often-overlooked advantage of maintaining a large stock of stored foods and eating routinely from those stores is that it allows you to avoid eating foods that end up being recalled. For example, I see that Kraft just recalled a quarter million cases of their Mac & Cheese dinners. The problem this time is minor–metal bits in a few of the boxes–but in the past there have been recalls for serious issues like botulism contamination.

Speaking of food, I see that our moron state legislators are pushing a bill to deal with the supposed problem of “food deserts” in rural and urban North Carolina. They plan to subsidize convenience stores to carry fresh fruits and vegetables, believing that the problem is that poor people can’t get to supermarkets so the solution is to bring “healthy” foods to the convenience stores where they shop. Needless to say, those fresh foods will rot on the convenience store shelves. The reason poor people don’t eat more fresh foods isn’t because they have to travel to get to supermarkets. The reason is that they’re too lazy to prepare them. They’d rather eat convenience foods.

As I’ve said before, we need to get rid of food stamps and return to the classical Roman grain dole. Any citizen should be able to get a free food supply once a month just by showing up and signing on the line. That month’s food supply should comprise one 1-pound box of salt, a liter of vegetable oil, one 5-pound can of beans, and six 5-pound cans of white flour. That provides all the nutrition one person needs for one month at an actual cost of about $0.50 per day.



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Thursday, 5 February 2015

08:56 – Barbara continues her recovery. She’s doing very well according to the physical therapist, but she’s frustrated because she’s not yet back to her normal abilities and forced to sit around much of the time. At least I have kit stuff for her to work on.

I see that the FCC is moving toward enforcing net neutrality, which is a good thing. Foxnews is screaming about new “burdensome regulations”, but then Foxnews always favors the interests of big corporations against the people. Just to be clear here, this isn’t about free enterprise and capitalism. Broadband providers in most of the country operate under government-granted monopolies or duopolies, so it’s only reasonable that the government enforce regulations to control their pricing and behavior. Treating broadband providers as common carriers like the phone company is perfectly reasonable.

The morning paper reports that the Triad region is now at “full employment”, which is completely bogus. As usual, the official unemployment figures exclude anyone who’s given up looking for work and completely ignore the quality of the jobs in question. A Ph.D. engineer who’s serving coffee at Starbucks part-time is counted the same as a Ph.D. engineer working full-time as an engineer at $150,000 per year. What actually matters isn’t the unemployment rate; it’s the full-time non-government employment rate, which is now at historic lows. Working part-time shouldn’t count, and “working” for the government certainly shouldn’t.


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Tuesday, 3 February 2015

08:31 – When Barbara mentioned to her physical therapist yesterday that she planned to go back to work four weeks after her surgery, he said that just didn’t happen with knee replacements. At least six weeks, he said, and often eight. Four was unheard of. She told him that she’d gone back to work four weeks after her first knee replacement in October 2011, and he was very surprised.

The refrigerator is doing fine, so far. Of course, it hasn’t had time for much frost to form and for the auto-defrost function to melt the ice and let it run down into the refrigerator section.

I read a short article on Obama’s proposed $4 trillion budget. I think he needs to simplify things considerably. What if everyone’s paycheck, dividends, interest, profits, and so on just went directly to the federal government, which could then just give each person whatever it thought they deserved? That would eliminate the “income inequality” that progressives are so concerned about, because everyone would have nothing.


12:35 – Well, I’m now running Linux Mint 17.1 KDE, which is an LTS version. The system had been acting hinky for several days. Yesterday the power failed for an hour or so. When I tried to reboot the system it gave some disk errors before it finally booted. I made backups of all my data while it was still limping along. This morning it died completely. The drive was a Seagate Barracuda 1.5 TB that had about 18 months of run time on it. I wish I’d had a Hitachi spare, but all I had was an unused Seagate Barracuda 2.0 TB drive, so that’s what I installed.

I had been running Ubuntu 14.04 LTS because Linux Mint didn’t have their LTS version available when I installed Ubuntu. I checked and found that their 17.1 is an LTS version based on Ubuntu 14.04, so I went ahead and installed the 64-bit KDE version. It’s updating right now. I’ll get my data restored to the new drive this afternoon.

All of which reminds me that I need to do a section in the prepping book on using Linux on desktops and notebooks. In a situation where the Internet may be down, the last thing anyone needs is a computer running Windows that decides it has to phone home to Microsoft before it’ll work.

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Monday, 26 January 2015

10:26 – Barbara is doing very well, even after cleaning house yesterday. She’s up and walking around frequently. She’s checking her work email a couple of times a day, and keeping busy labeling/filling containers for science kits.

It seems that the communist Syriza party has won the Greek election, coming within at worst one or two seats of an absolute majority, with the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn party placing third. Given that Merkel and the Germans despise Tsipras and the Greeks, this is unlikely to end well. Merkel believes, wrongly, that Tsipras is bluffing and that in any event the eurozone has the necessary mechanisms in place to survive Greece crashing out of the euro; Tsipras believes, wrongly, that Merkel is bluffing and that the troika will allow Greece to default on its debts and still remain in the eurozone. At this point, the best that anyone can reasonably hope for is that both sides negotiate calmly and arrange an orderly exit from the euro for Greece. That may actually happen, but I think it’s much more likely that one or both parties will misjudge and the result will be a disorderly exit from the euro for Greece. That’s going to be ugly, and the row of dominoes toppling as the contagion hits Italy, Spain, Portugal, and eventually France will be uglier still.

The ECB’s QE policy announced on Thursday was much larger than expected, but still far too little far too late and with far too many conditions and limitations on it. Draghi’s vaunted “bazooka”–at a third the percentage of GDP of the QE in the US and UK and years too late–is likely to be a damp squib.


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Friday, 21 November 2014

09:55 – I still need to build some science kits. As of this morning, after shipping today’s orders we’ll be down to two biology kits and one forensic kit in stock. I have everything I need to build another couple dozen of each, but I need to bag the chemicals before I can build the kits. So after I get the outstanding orders queued up to ship, that’s what I’ll be doing today.

I see that Mr. Obama has done what he himself said not long ago he was Constitutionally prohibited from doing. I’m sure he believes this is the right thing to do. That’s one clear difference between libertarians like me and progressives like Obama: libertarians try to do what they believe is the right thing, but only at their own expense; progressives try to do what they believe is the right thing, but only at other people’s expense.

Work on the prepping book continues. Right now, I’m writing about keeping insulin cool as a short-term solution and about isolating insulin from animal pancreata as a long-term solution. The latter is surprisingly easy. The hardest part is identifying the pancreata in animal corpses. Using animal insulin does raise allergy issues, but it’s a hell of a lot better than nothing. The thought just crossed my mind that if I were writing a post-apocalyptic novel, as I originally intended to do, I’d probably have characters isolating insulin from the corpses of people who’d attacked them. In fact, I might have them keeping prisoners and killing one as necessary to produce more insulin. But then I’m a bloodthirsty kind of guy, at least when it comes to writing fiction.


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