Category: march to war

Thur. May 11, 2023 – more weather for Houston?

Cool and wet.   Supposed to keep raining off and on.    Which it did yesterday.   Parts of town got absolutely hammered.   I caught it in a couple different places as I drove around.

Bayous are high, some road flooding occurred, and various places lost power, including the kids’ school.

I was driving all over town, from the NW side of town to near IAH, then down to HOU then back out west… and I got caught in a downpour that could have stripped paint.  Fortunately I was in the wife’s minivan so all the stuff stayed dry.   She worked from home and I borrowed her car.  It’s great to be bourgeois.   To  bad it won’t last.

D1 is feeling better, so will return to school today.  No wuflu.  I’m a bit headache-y so I’ll be taking it easy for a couple of days.  No desire to get sick.  Between Mother’s Day and school stuff we’ll be home this weekend so I better start planning for  that.  It’s actually easier to load the truck and head to the BOL, and the task list is more straightforward.

I will spend today continuing to sort, clean, and make ready for sale a bunch of stuff… and if I get to it, continue household chores as well.   The rain helps by narrowing the choices I have.

Prices continue to rise.   Social conditions continue to deteriorate.   Tens of thousands of invaders are poised on the border, ready to descend on our cities and towns like locusts.   Supply chain issues continue, and the banks are getting sketchier by the day.

Stack what you can.   All the classics, and then some.   I don’t think you’ll regret it.

nick

 

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Wed. May 10, 2023 – who wears short shorts, we wear short shorts…

Cool and wet again.   Maybe clearing a bit.    It did clear in the distance just before sunset.  But we got plenty of storm throughout the day.   Not as much as some areas, but still got a solid couple of inches.

I was able to make a couple of pickups after the rain stopped.   Several of my auctioneers pack up at 3pm though, so I’ll be hitting them today.  I’ve got a couple in the same area to hit too.  I should be making a big loop to get them all.    I did spend the morning and early afternoon sorting and cleaning.    I’ve got a couple of bins for my swapmeet on Saturday and still some more stuff to go through.  Don’t know if it will sell, but it’s worth a try.

I do need to get some stuff listed on ebay too, and a couple of things on craigslist.   I had to dig deep into my ‘fun money’ to pay for the needful things I picked up.  At least there were no transfer fees.  A couple of sales should replenish that.

Today I’ll be mainly doing pickups.   Then back in time to get the kids from school and on to swim practice.  The school year is winding down, and summer activities are starting up.  Busy busy me.

Still trying to keep everything as normal as possible for the kids, but things are definitely changing.   There continue to be shortages and substituted brands at the store.  They no longer have the frosting mix D1 likes.   Heck, they had almost no flour on the shelves last night, and other baking stuff was thin.  Cake and brownie and muffin mixes were not on sale and are about 50% more expensive than they were  (usually one of those categories is on sale, and they rotate).   I don’t even buy chips anymore as they have doubled in price.   Lunch snacks for school are not cheap.   I actually put some stuff back after picking it up, and price compared soda to get the best deal, and not the size of can and package that I wanted.  Name brand soda is between 30c and 50c a can.   Premium is $1 a can, as much as beer.  I might have to figure out how to make my own beef jerky too.  This was the first store visit that the brand and flavor without sugar was not on sale.   Usually there is a store coupon for 25% off, which makes it easier to justify.  Not this time though.  Pound for pound, beef jerky is one expensive food.

Some veg, fruit, milk, and lunch snacks came to $150…   I didn’t even buy meat or packaged meals.  FJB and his inflationary policies.

Wave of invaders should start now too.   Spicy time approaches.  Get yourself sorted out.

And stack the stuff you can still get.    You can always turn guns into money, you can’t always turn money into guns…

nick

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Sun. May 7, 2023 – as the world turns…

Slightly cooler, but still damp with a chance of rain.   We did get some overnight yesterday that I forgot to mention.  I hope we don’t get any overnight last night.  I guess overnight is better than during the day  when I want to be doing stuff, but we could take a couple of days off of rain… It did end up pretty nice yesterday, if a bit on the humid side.  Wife and child got a brief and light shower shortly after arriving at camp but it didn’t dampen their spirits.

I spent the morning driving to the waste of time ‘man stuff’ estate sale.   Hit the bins for a quick walk through on my way home, then did taxi service for the teens.   Did some sorting while waiting for them to need the Nick Taxi, Nixi? and of course someone shot up a mall… yeah, I don’t even like going to the mall and I left my kid at one.  This whole idea of striving to give them as much of a childhood as I had is very trying.  (the mall is less than 10 minutes from the house)

Took the kid out for dinner, then called it an early night.

I really need to clean and organize the house today before W1 and D2 return.  Or I’ll be looking for W2 shortly.   My auctioneer put me off for another week as he’s having trouble clearing space.  I might need to send a load to another auctioneer in the mean time.  Maybe some of the lesser quality stuff since the guy I have in mind doesn’t get great prices.

I still need to do more cleanup in the stacks too.   Just keep swimming, just keep swimming…

 

And stacking, keep doing that too.  Even if it’s just a little bit.

nick

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Fri. May 5, 2023 – Stinko de Feo

Cool.  Damp.   Maybe raining.  Then humid and hot later.   It was overcast all day Thursday, but the rain held off.  Until later, and at my client’s house.

I did my auction stuff in the morning, and waited to see if my piece of gear would arrive.   Finally gave up and headed to my client’s house.   I grabbed my shovel, pick, and underground wire locator and was on my way.    It was hot, still, and humid.   At least the sun wasn’t beating down.

I spent a couple of fruitless hours.   Well, I did determine that the buried coax was unusable.   I found about a 50 foot long air gap…    When a second garage was added, the conduit and cable run was cut.  I traced it from both directions and it ended at the foundation for the garage.   The phone line was in the same conduit, which rules out that as any kind of option too.

So we’re back to using a wireless link.   Should be fine, but I’ll get with the gate contractor today and see what was really driving the request for a hard line to the network.

My timing was pretty good.   Just after I filled my last exploratory hole, and put my tools away, and went inside to look at other network stuff, the skies opened up and the rain came down.   40 minutes later the sun came back out and the temperature was 10-15F lower.   Really cleared the air.

Cleaned up a few notes, had a nice chat with my client and his wife, and headed home.   Found out it didn’t rain here… that’s Houston.   And the wind was blowing hard and steady off the gulf, pushing the weather I saw earlier even farther away.  It made for a nice cool evening.

Today will be working around the house.   Wife and D2 will be doing a Girl Scout thing this weekend, so I’m debating taking D1 to the BOL.  I’ve got lots to do here, but I’ve got lots to do there too.   I’ve got a couple of auction pickups to do in town, nothing far away or on the way to the BOL.   I think I’ll play it by ear.  I have avoided cleaning up my canned goods….


Out in the world the dominoes continue to fall.  More banks are at risk or are collapsing.   Russians are advocating a decapitation strike against Ukraine… Crime and violence are escalating here at home, and the illegal invader crisis is about to explode.

Stay frosty my friends.   And stack it high.

nick

(and a month or two of expenses in cash at home might not be a bad idea, just in case some Monday we wake up to a bank holiday.)

 

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Tues. Apr. 25, 2023 – time flies when you’re having fun

Cool and clear, damp, and maybe a chance of rain… so mostly just Houston.  It was another great day at the BOL following the rain.   A bit on the humid side, rapidly warming in the sun, but nice.

Met with the tree cutting guy.  Got a bid for the needed work.   Need to find time in the coming weeks to execute… not cheap, but seems reasonable for a crew of 7 and the work done.

Got a couple more small tasks knocked off the list.  Things like “change 2 of the outlet covers on the dock, to keep from electrocuting someone…”   Not high priority, but needed doing.   Poisoned some more fire ants.   Planted most of the blueberry and dewberry bushes.

When I used the hose to water in the bushes, I decided that I will have to add mechanical fasteners to the hose bibs, foam isn’t enough by itself.  I really don’t understand how they are meant to be fastened, the holes that look like screw holes are too small for any real hardware.  I’ll have to do some googling.  Details.   They’ll kill you.

Today I’ve got pickups, groceries, one drop off, and getting some dinner cooked.   I’ll be frying up the fillets my fishing buddy gave me.   Should make some other fried food to go with them.   Hope they’re delicious…

Got the annual bill from XM radio.  We have three subs, one for each vehicle.   The bill was over $1000.   Yeah it’s less than a dollar a day for each vehicle, and we both listen to XM by preference, but times are tight and getting tighter.   Wife called to cancel or downgrade plans… and they offered 70% off for a year, if she switched packages.   Ok.  There was still a big savings and we still don’t have to listen to commercial radio.  Win win, for now.

I mention it because of the belt tightening aspect.   We’ve got some big expenditures coming, so we are looking to save what we can where we can.  I work pretty hard at it in fact.  We’ve been coasting on things like subscription services though.   I bet a lot of people have, and I bet a lot of them will be cutting back soon if they haven’t already.

Jerry Pournelle always said storytellers would do ok in bad times, so “entertainment” will continue to get money.   I’d bet that (smart people) will be looking at the value they’re getting and reduce spending.   I get pretty good value out of a used book, it costs far less than $1/hour of use.   Some people get good value from a streaming service, watching more than enough shows to get under $1/hour.  Full price video games give outstanding value per hour, if you start with a used copy the cost is even lower.

Used DVDs are double that $1/hour, and movies and dinner out are WAY more.   Concert tickets, travel, and “experiences” are about to become the province of the well off.    Shopping as entertainment (“retail therapy”) is going to run up the credit card debt, or run up the return rate, but is likely to be cut back dramatically.   Doordash and similar services are convenient, but at some point even the innumerate will see that $15 on top of a fast food order isn’t doable.

Personal services, and “pampering” are almost sure to be cut back.  Fewer haircuts, massages, spa days.  Longer between nails and then less expensive procedures when you do get out…  except a certain parasite class that already overdoes these things on the tax payer’s dime.   When the tax revenues drop, even social programs should be cut.  Don’t know if they will, because of the rioting that would ensue, but I’d expect cuts in all the programs, even if they are just passive cuts, by not keeping up with inflation.

The result of all those spending cuts is job losses, which lead to more cuts, which lead to more jobs lost.  And then suddenly you are in a Depression with high unemployment.  Add the social unrest and the political upsets coming, and the malaise and hopelessness of unemployment, to the sudden appearance of obvious foreigners (as the lily pads covering the pond double seemingly overnight) and you’ve got a dangerous toxic mess.

I can’t be sure what’s coming, but for this summer, I’ll quote Ralph Wiggum from The Simpson’s – “It tastes like burning…”

Stack it up.

 

nick

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Sat. Apr. 22, 2023 – stuff to do, places to go

Possibly some more rain… and cool and damp to start.  There were patches of blue sky at dusk so I’m hoping for some clearing today.   It rained a bit yesterday, but was mostly just threatening, after raining overnight.   Actually storming overnight would be a more accurate description, with power loss for some time too.

Did a couple of pickups.  No drop offs this week.  Had a chat with a couple of my auctioneers.  New guy is actually from the next biggest town to my BOL, the nearest town with a Lowes.   He took the job down here to “get out of the sticks.”  I bought the BOL to get out of the city.   Every successful transaction has two parties who each think they’re doing the right thing…   life is like that  too.

The other guy I chatted with we were talking about the future of the reseller industry.   I think we’re at peak mom and pop, like house flipping when all the people with no experience or applicable skills got involved.   I think there will be consolidation on the seller side, with more bigger players.   There will probably still be a place for the mom and pops but it will likely be more focused.   I could be wrong.   The demand for low cost stuff should rise as the economy worsens, but balancing that, the really big guys, the sources, will likely be feeling the pinch and may want to limit the returns, and maybe even recapture some of that revenue- more than they currently do by wholesaling the items to resellers.

It’s a bit like thrifting.   Thrifting as sourcing depends on people being willing to give away valuable stuff.   That doesn’t happen in poor countries.   If amazon or other big retailers limit returns, or if they want too much for all the middlemen involved in reselling to make money, supply may dry up.  Then  I’ll have to find something else to do, I guess.   Several new players have entered the game, and several that I’ve been watching or buying from have exited lately.  Change is the only constant.

Headed to the BOL today.   Wife has a GS thing up that way, and will join us later.   Kids and I will go up first.   I hope to meet with a tree service guy and get the pruning and removal underway.  I’ll ask him if there are cost savings if I cut it up myself.   And I’ll see what he wants to do with the smaller stuff or the rotten stuff.   If the difference isn’t dramatic, I’ll have him do it.  I’ve got enough to do just stacking it.

Last week I got some seed potatoes in the ground at the BOL.  We’ll see if they got dug up and eaten.  I hope not, and I’ll put some wire mesh in place this visit.   Some other gardening activity may take place, depending on weather and motivation.   More storage cleanup and organization will definitely take place.   Gotta shift out of the ‘construction’ mode and into the ‘we’re using the place’ mode.  All while continuing with improvements, repairs, remodel, and stacking…

Kinda like everyone everywhere, just more so.   Stack it up.

nick

 

 

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Thurs. Apr. 20, 2023 – 420 – haha, dopers are funny !

Cool and damp.  ‘Cuz Houston!   Joy.   Forecast has us in the storm zone.   As always, we’ll see.  It was pretty darn nice yesterday.   Nice temps, some sun, just generally nice.   More please.

Spent yesterday playing catch up on my auction sites.  Then did two pickups- almost entirely stuff for the BOL and plumbing supplies for here.   My sprinkler system froze, so there are parts that need to be replaced.   It’ll be hot soon and I’ll need to run the system, so I better get it fixed.  Conveniently, everything I think I need was in the auctions last week.

Today, I’ll be doing more home stuff, I think.    I keep putting it off, but especially if the weather isn’t great, it’s time to do some.

Time.   Who knows how much we have?   There were articles this week about some sub-prime lenders being in trouble.    Sub-prime is where the last bad thing got started.  More articles about food too, and issues with the food supply.   Time feels short to me.   I hope not.   But .mil and .gov are getting their ducks in a row.   I read Guns, Germs, and Steel and I was amazed by how long the process took to get ready for war, how much happened in full view and yet was dismissed, and I’m seeing many of those same things happening now.    War is always disruptive to society and the economy.  It’s also a great distraction from internal issues.  Think we have some of those?

My advice is the same.  Keep stacking.   It can’t hurt and it might save your life.

nick

 

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Fri. Apr. 14, 2023 – TGIF, sorta. Maybe.

Cool and clear, possibility of rain but clearing later.  So we’ll see what happens.  Yesterday was so nice I sat out for an hour and contemplated the world.    Sunny and clear, with light variable breezes, just beautiful.

Of course, I spent a fair amount of time indoors first.   I fell down a rabbit hole moving stuff to the attic, moving stuff IN the attic, looking in some boxes I haven’t looked at in a while in the attic, and generally messing around in the attic.   I also did some sorting and organizing.

Went outside, noticed that the pond pump was barely circulating the water.   Spent some time cleaning the filters, and scooping out a bunch of muck from the bottom of the pond.   Fish was happier afterwards.   The fountain makes a soothing sound, the weather was great, and the seating was comfortable.   So I spent a bit of time smelling roses, so to speak.

Then I noticed that the automatic fish feeder that wasn’t working was driven by a simple quartz clock.   THAT  led to some repair work that involved files, nippers, and combining 3 clock movements to get it going again.   Not high on the priority list, but a satisfying fix and one that my wife will actually appreciate every day since manually feeding the fish was her task.  Sometimes a distraction is exactly what is called for.

Today I have a bunch of things to pick up.   They are scattered around town, so I’ll have to make a big loop.   I’ll have time to do more cleaning here first as none of them open before 10 am, and I have to wait even longer than that because of who opens when, and what order for the pickups makes the most sense.  And since I’ll be in the neighborhood, I’ll try to stop at Microcenter.   I need some resin for the 3D printer, and they are giving out 128Gig flash drives.  The store is very inconveniently located because of the intersecting expressways, and how the offramps work.  The whole area is also under construction as they re-do how those roads all come together.  Not a fun area to drive in at the best of times.

The day will culminate in the kids’ play at school, which means I’ll be heading to the BOL Saturday morning, instead of Friday afternoon.   I’ve got to get up there this weekend both to deliver all the cr@p that is piled up in my living room, and to make sure we are ready for guests NEXT weekend.  Plus I get anxious when I haven’t been there in a while.

So much stuff to do, so many things to stack.   So not motivated for the last few weeks…

Stack it up, buttercup.  Hard times are here and getting worse.  Gotta bring your A game.

nick

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Wed. Apr. 12, 2023 – “I know, right?”

Cool and damp, but no one could say for sure whether it will rain… I’m going with overcast but not raining…   yesterday ended up gorgeous.   Mid 70sF, sunny, light breeze…  please sir, can I have some more??

After a slow start, I did get out and dropped off some bins at one of my auctioneers.   He’s trying to downsize his building rental so he didn’t want all that I was hoping to bring.   In a couple of weeks he’ll be ready for more.  I hope.   I’ll do some more sorting and see what I can take to my other auction house.   Her next sale is ‘collectibles’ so I have to sort and only send her stuff that would fit with that.

I’ll do some of that today if the rain holds off.  I need to do some more cleaning up around the house too.    While I’m sorting, stuff tends to pile up.  Not something my wife likes to see.

If the rain comes, well, I’ve got stuff to do in that case too.


Out in the world, violence, particularly political violence, seems to be ramping up.   Be mindful of your surroundings, where you are, and who you are there with.  And although FBI stats suggest that most shootouts are less than 8 rounds, carry a reload.   Might be a second guy, might be you missed, but throwing your empty gun at an aggressor isn’t gonna do much.

And have a blow out kit, or stop the bleed kit handy.   Could be in your desk at work, could be in your car, could be both… or in your “murse” ie. EDC carry bag, but have access to what you need to help keep the red stuff on the inside…


I hit the local HEB grocery store last night to add to the stacks.   Bought stuff that wasn’t even on sale.   Added stuff that was on sale too.   Bought box meals, flavored pasta pouches, and some canned beans.   Bought a lot of snack stuff for the kids’ school lunch bags too.   Spent $350 but “saved” $42.   That’s about what I aim for.    I was surprised by how much canned veg has gone up, almost doubling in price.   Milk and eggs are still reasonable here in Texas, with 18 large eggs for ~$4.   And even my “lower cost” coffee has gone up dramatically in the small bags, from ~$5 per bag to ~$9.  I’ve been buying it in big bags online since costco switched flavors, and haven’t looked at the small bags in a while, but the reason I switched to Community was that it was less than $6 a bag.  Not any more.   Didn’t buy any meat this trip.   Nothing was on sale.


Real inflation is high, much higher than ‘official’ inflation, and that is high enough.  We’re gonna need more money and we’re gonna need more stuff to make it through this.

Stack accordingly.

nick

 

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Sat. Apr. 8, 2023 – non-prepping hobby today with bonus cookie sales…

Cool and damp, continued chance of rain.   It rained on and off all day Friday, making my auction sorting kinda problematic.  I managed to pick up  the base for my 10″ dobsonian in between showers, and got an item out of storage for an ebay sale.

I went by ‘the bins’, and got a ton of stuff I’ve been looking for.   Crazy how it works sometimes.   I’ve been trying to buy a “stand up desk” converter (scissor lift thing sits on your regular desk and has adjustable height) for months.   Pretty much the exact one I wanted (some are sturdy, some are not) was sitting in a bin, waiting for me.   No good collectibles, no vintage or mid century modern, no pokemon, but I still filled a tub with stuff for the auction and me.  Oh, and half a tub of Christmas lights.   If  they’re not all balled up, I’ve been buying Christmas lights.   This last year I found that a lot of mine are looking pretty ragged, and I’ve got  the BOL to decorate now too.  So time to upgrade for cheap…

Today I’ve got my non-prepping hobby meeting, some stuff for show and tell, and then if the weather is clear, a freezer to deliver.   Might deliver the last of the cookies too.   The season is over for us, but there are a few boxes left in the ‘cookie mom’ just in case inventory.

It’s meatspace, and it’s important.   We are part of a community.   Several in fact.  We are part of groups.  Again, several.  Some of us might only be part of a group we aren’t even aware of – that old loner nut down the street – but we’re part of groups.   The challenge is to not be ‘outed’ as a prepper, or someone to be robbed or take advantage of, but to still be a helpful and valued member of whatever group it is.   Helpful and valued members are less likely to be dimed to confiscation squads.   Helpful and valued group members are more likely to be tipped off to trouble, or opportunity.

The web and online services have ‘disintermediated’ a lot of our relationships and transactions.  When things get spicy, personal will once again reign supreme.  Who you know and who knows you might determine your access to resources, aid, and work.    It takes time and practice to be comfortable in the person to person marketplace.   Get some now, spend the time.   I know I’ve talked about it before, but it is becoming more and more clear to me that the future is personal and local.

Stack up some experience while you are stacking up goods.   This week, go to a grocery store you haven’t been to.   Walk the aisles.  See what they might have that your normal store doesn’t.  Bonus points if the store caters to a different ethnic group than yours.   Ask at least one person something about an item.  Chat.  Get a feel for the pace and rhythm of the place.  Buy something and pay with cash.   If you don’t use cash normally, this is a good time and place to start.  Cash is king in the secondary economy.   Learn to use it.

Learn something this week.   Stack something this week.

nick

 

 

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